Duke Blue Devils
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#1 Final Four (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.34 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.45 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.53 | possessions per game | 4.51 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 39 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.01 to 0.87 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35 | 4 | 0.897 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Duke | auto |
| odds_api | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | 2025 | Houston @ Duke N | 70–67 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-30 | 2025 | Alabama @ Duke N | 65–85 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-28 | 2025 | Arizona @ Duke N | 93–100 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Baylor @ Duke N | 66–89 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-21 | 2025 | Mount St. Mary's @ Duke N | 49–93 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-16 | 2025 | Louisville @ Duke N | 62–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025 | North Carolina @ Duke N | 71–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-13 | 2025 | Georgia Tech @ Duke N | 70–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Duke @ North Carolina | 82–69 | regular |
| 2025-03-04 | 2025 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 60–93 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Florida State @ Duke | 65–100 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Duke @ Miami | 97–60 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Duke @ Illinois N | 110–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-18 | 2025 | Duke @ Virginia | 80–62 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Stanford @ Duke | 70–106 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | California @ Duke | 57–78 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Duke @ Clemson | 71–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Duke @ Syracuse | 83–54 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | North Carolina @ Duke | 70–87 | regular |
| 2025-01-28 | 2025 | NC State @ Duke | 64–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 63–56 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Duke @ Boston College | 88–63 | regular |
| 2025-01-15 | 2025 | Miami @ Duke | 54–89 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Notre Dame @ Duke | 78–86 | regular |
| 2025-01-08 | 2025 | Pittsburgh @ Duke | 47–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Duke @ SMU | 89–62 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | Virginia Tech @ Duke | 65–88 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Duke @ Georgia Tech | 82–56 | regular |
| 2024-12-18 | 2025 | George Mason @ Duke | 47–68 | regular |
| 2024-12-11 | 2025 | Incarnate Word @ Duke | 46–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Duke @ Louisville | 76–65 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Auburn @ Duke | 78–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-30 | 2025 | Seattle U @ Duke | 48–70 | regular |
| 2024-11-27 | 2025 | Kansas @ Duke N | 75–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Duke @ Arizona | 69–55 | regular |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Wofford @ Duke | 35–86 | regular |
| 2024-11-13 | 2025 | Duke @ Kentucky N | 72–77 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Army @ Duke | 58–100 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Maine @ Duke | 62–96 | regular |