cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #1 Sweet 16 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.21 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.30 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.75 possessions per game 4.22

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 41 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.09 to 0.83 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022334 0.892

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-25 2022 Houston @ Arizona N 72–60 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-21 2022 TCU @ Arizona N 80–85 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-18 2022 Wright State @ Arizona N 70–87 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-13 2022 UCLA @ Arizona N 76–84 conf_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 Colorado @ Arizona N 72–82 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Stanford @ Arizona N 80–84 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 California @ Arizona 61–89 regular
2022-03-04 2022 Stanford @ Arizona 69–81 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Arizona @ USC 91–71 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Arizona @ Colorado 63–79 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Arizona @ Utah 97–77 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Oregon @ Arizona 81–84 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Oregon State @ Arizona 69–83 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Arizona @ Washington 92–68 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Arizona @ Washington State 72–60 regular
2022-02-08 2022 Arizona @ Arizona State 91–79 regular
2022-02-05 2022 USC @ Arizona 63–72 regular
2022-02-04 2022 UCLA @ Arizona 66–76 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Arizona State @ Arizona 56–67 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Arizona @ UCLA 59–75 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Arizona @ California 96–71 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Arizona @ Stanford 85–57 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Utah @ Arizona 64–82 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Colorado @ Arizona 55–76 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Arizona @ Arizona State scheduled regular
2022-01-04 2022 Washington @ Arizona 79–95 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Arizona @ USC scheduled regular
2021-12-31 2022 Arizona @ UCLA scheduled regular
2021-12-23 2022 Arizona @ Tennessee 73–77 regular
2021-12-18 2022 California Baptist @ Arizona 60–84 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Northern Colorado @ Arizona 76–101 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Arizona @ Illinois 83–79 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Wyoming @ Arizona 65–94 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Arizona @ Oregon State 90–65 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Washington @ Arizona scheduled regular
2021-11-28 2022 Sacramento State @ Arizona 59–105 regular
2021-11-22 2022 Michigan @ Arizona N 62–80 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Wichita State @ Arizona N 78–82 regular
2021-11-17 2022 North Dakota State @ Arizona 45–97 regular
2021-11-13 2022 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Arizona 50–104 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Northern Arizona @ Arizona 52–81 regular