cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #2 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.26 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.85 possessions per game 4.08

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.16 to 0.66 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023287 0.800

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-16 2023 Princeton @ Arizona N 59–55 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-12 2023 Arizona @ UCLA N 61–59 conf_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Arizona State @ Arizona N 59–78 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Stanford @ Arizona N 84–95 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Arizona @ UCLA 73–82 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Arizona @ USC 87–81 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Arizona State @ Arizona 89–88 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Colorado @ Arizona 68–78 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Utah @ Arizona 62–88 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Arizona @ Stanford 79–88 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Arizona @ California 85–62 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Oregon State @ Arizona 52–84 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Oregon @ Arizona 76–91 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Arizona @ Washington 95–72 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Arizona @ Washington State 63–58 regular
2023-01-21 2023 UCLA @ Arizona 52–58 regular
2023-01-20 2023 USC @ Arizona 66–81 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Arizona @ Oregon 68–87 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Arizona @ Oregon State 86–74 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Washington State @ Arizona 74–61 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Washington @ Arizona 67–70 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Arizona @ Arizona State 69–60 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Morgan State @ Arizona 68–93 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Montana State @ Arizona 64–85 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Tennessee @ Arizona 70–75 regular
2022-12-14 2023 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Arizona 61–99 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Indiana @ Arizona N 75–89 regular
2022-12-04 2023 California @ Arizona 68–81 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Arizona @ Utah 66–81 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Creighton @ Arizona N 79–81 regular
2022-11-23 2023 San Diego State @ Arizona N 70–87 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Cincinnati @ Arizona N 93–101 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Utah Tech @ Arizona 77–104 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Southern @ Arizona 78–95 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Nicholls @ Arizona 75–117 regular