cbb·system

Mercer Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.43 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.59 to 0.22 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-06 2020 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro N 73–75 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 Mercer @ Chattanooga N 63–55 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 60–50 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Western Carolina @ Mercer 54–60 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 54–56 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Mercer @ Chattanooga 52–58 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Samford @ Mercer 60–54 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Furman @ Mercer 55–61 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Wofford @ Mercer 53–54 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Mercer @ Western Carolina 40–51 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 51–67 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Chattanooga @ Mercer 48–55 regular
2020-01-24 2020 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 72–66 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Mercer @ Samford 64–72 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Mercer @ Wofford 49–77 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Mercer @ Furman 49–62 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Mercer @ Columbia 48–77 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Mercer @ Yale 60–68 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Jacksonville @ Mercer 87–83 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Gardner-Webb @ Mercer 65–62 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Mercer @ Florida 50–71 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Clemson @ Mercer 65–61 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Georgia Southern @ Mercer 52–62 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Mercer @ South Carolina State 66–55 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Mercer @ App State 68–77 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Eastern Kentucky @ Mercer 61–60 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Mercer @ Georgia 60–76 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Mercer @ Alabama 56–111 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Mercer @ Kennesaw State 64–92 regular
2019-11-08 2020 Western Kentucky @ Mercer 75–62 regular
2019-11-06 2020 LaGrange @ Mercer 47–74 non_d1