cbb·system

Mercer Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.13 possessions per game 5.01

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.35 to 1.49 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019258 0.758

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-22 2019 Mercer @ Iowa 61–66 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-10 2019 Furman @ Mercer N 63–66 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Wofford @ Mercer N 51–69 conf_tournament
2019-03-07 2019 Western Carolina @ Mercer N 32–55 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Wofford @ Mercer 59–65 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Furman @ Mercer 62–66 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Mercer @ Chattanooga 62–56 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 83–77 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Western Carolina @ Mercer 55–71 regular
2019-02-15 2019 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 73–85 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Mercer @ Samford 68–52 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Mercer @ Furman 75–60 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Mercer @ Wofford 81–79 regular
2019-01-26 2019 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 41–64 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Chattanooga @ Mercer 58–65 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 71–58 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Mercer @ Western Carolina 69–67 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Samford @ Mercer 68–76 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Columbia @ Mercer 72–68 regular
2019-01-02 2019 Mercer @ Jacksonville 66–71 regular
2018-12-30 2019 UNC Asheville @ Mercer 47–61 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Mercer @ George Washington 61–53 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Mercer @ Howard 85–70 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Charlotte @ Mercer 40–57 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Florida State @ Mercer 57–56 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Kennesaw State @ Mercer 48–64 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Mercer @ Georgia 60–67 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Mercer @ Bowling Green N 76–63 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Mercer @ Memphis N 53–59 regular
2018-11-18 2019 UCF @ Mercer 76–42 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Florida @ Mercer 82–92 regular
2018-11-12 2019 Mercer @ Georgia Southern 79–72 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Mercer @ Wake Forest 54–69 regular