cbb·system

Mercer Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.08 possessions per game 5.04

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.24 to 0.55 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018303 0.909

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-17 2018 Mercer @ Georgia N 63–68 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-04 2018 East Tennessee State @ Mercer N 53–68 conf_tournament
2018-03-02 2018 Samford @ Mercer N 44–81 conf_tournament
2018-03-01 2018 Western Carolina @ Mercer N 44–75 conf_tournament
2018-02-24 2018 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 48–63 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Chattanooga @ Mercer 56–65 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 57–54 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Mercer @ Western Carolina 53–46 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Samford @ Mercer 45–48 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Wofford @ Mercer 39–80 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Furman @ Mercer 53–65 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Mercer @ Chattanooga 71–50 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 85–65 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Western Carolina @ Mercer 50–72 regular
2018-01-19 2018 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 57–80 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Mercer @ Samford 73–59 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Mercer @ Furman 86–64 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Mercer @ Wofford 71–46 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Mercer @ Charlotte 90–74 regular
2017-12-28 2018 Mercer @ North Carolina 97–86 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Howard @ Mercer 44–70 regular
2017-12-20 2018 South Carolina State @ Mercer 53–74 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Winthrop @ Mercer 45–93 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Mercer @ UNC Asheville 67–56 regular
2017-12-07 2018 George Washington @ Mercer 44–61 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Davidson @ Mercer 54–69 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Mercer @ Campbell 58–57 regular
2017-11-26 2018 VCU @ Mercer N 54–70 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Western Kentucky @ Mercer N 67–62 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Georgia @ Mercer 72–54 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Georgia Southern @ Mercer 45–72 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Mercer @ Florida Atlantic 66–55 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Mercer @ UCF 73–64 regular