cbb·system

Mercer Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.43 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.61 to 0.30 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-05 2026 Mercer @ Furman N 45–66 conf_tournament
2026-02-28 2026 Chattanooga @ Mercer 55–68 regular
2026-02-27 2026 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 58–51 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Mercer @ Furman 80–63 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Mercer @ Wofford 58–72 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Mercer @ Samford 48–68 regular
2026-02-11 2026 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 50–45 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Western Carolina @ Mercer 51–61 regular
2026-02-06 2026 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 58–67 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Mercer @ Chattanooga 59–72 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Wofford @ Mercer 67–64 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Furman @ Mercer 60–49 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Samford @ Mercer 67–76 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 59–76 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Mercer @ Western Carolina 84–75 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Auburn Montgomery @ Mercer 55–66 non_d1
2025-12-21 2026 Mercer @ Tulane 70–67 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Mercer @ Detroit Mercy N 64–55 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Erskine @ Mercer 37–91 non_d1
2025-12-14 2026 Mississippi Valley State @ Mercer 43–66 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Mercer @ Jacksonville State 62–72 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Mercer @ Campbell 49–71 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Mercer @ Charleston Southern 71–45 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Florida A&M @ Mercer 59–75 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Mercer @ Georgia Southern 72–93 regular
2025-11-19 2026 Mercer @ Jackson State 78–68 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Mercer @ Wake Forest 61–66 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Gardner-Webb @ Mercer 56–61 regular
2025-11-07 2026 Clemson @ Mercer 72–51 regular
2025-11-03 2026 Mercer @ UNC Asheville 48–39 regular