Arkansas State Red Wolves
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.09 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.48 | possessions per game | 4.56 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.59 to 0.28 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 13 | 0.458 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Georgia State N | 68–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State N | 58–62 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ UT Arlington | 56–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ UT Arlington | 71–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 57–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Little Rock | 67–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Arkansas State | 62–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 77–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 87–95 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | UT Arlington @ Arkansas State | 65–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | UT Arlington @ Arkansas State | 75–83 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 74–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 68–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 72–93 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 72–74 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 55–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 72–84 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Champion Christian @ Arkansas State | 50–90 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Stephen F. Austin | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Central Baptist College @ Arkansas State | 69–81 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Arkansas State | 75–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Crowley's Ridge @ Arkansas State | 49–115 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Memphis | 54–83 | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Morehead State | 61–69 | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Marshall | 56–70 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas N | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Jackson State @ Arkansas State N | canceled | regular |