Arkansas State Red Wolves
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.13 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.02 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 71.48 | possessions per game | 4.32 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans -0.41 to 0.40 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 12 | 0.625 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State N | 80–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 58–81 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | Southern Miss @ Arkansas State | 84–89 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 102–94 | regular |
| 2026-02-20 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 79–62 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | South Alabama @ Arkansas State | 92–88 | regular |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 70–103 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Bowling Green @ Arkansas State | 54–91 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina | 70–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Marshall @ Arkansas State | 70–61 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Old Dominion @ Arkansas State | 75–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Georgia State | 81–82 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern | 85–68 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 74–99 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 87–91 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 82–83 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | Troy @ Arkansas State | 74–86 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | James Madison @ Arkansas State | 78–74 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Arkansas Tech @ Arkansas State | 63–107 | non_d1 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 93–86 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 89–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Rice | 76–77 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Little Rock | 90–78 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | UT Arlington @ Arkansas State | 63–83 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | North Dakota State @ Arkansas State | 80–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Jacksonville State @ Arkansas State | 63–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ SMU | 69–100 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Saint Mary's | 72–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Christian Brothers @ Arkansas State | 67–95 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Missouri State | 86–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Stephen F. Austin | 65–90 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Ohio | 89–85 | regular |