Texas State Bobcats
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.02 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.55 | possessions per game | 4.50 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans -0.45 to 0.35 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 18 | 0.486 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-11 | 2024 | Texas State @ James Madison N | 68–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | Texas State @ Troy N | 74–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-07 | 2024 | Texas State @ Southern Miss N | 75–59 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-06 | 2024 | Old Dominion @ Texas State N | 83–92 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Troy @ Texas State | 79–82 | regular |
| 2024-02-28 | 2024 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 55–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Texas State @ Georgia State | 68–59 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | Texas State @ Georgia Southern | 76–84 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Texas State @ Southern Miss | 74–78 | regular |
| 2024-02-16 | 2024 | Texas State @ South Alabama | 55–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Ball State @ Texas State | 60–68 | regular |
| 2024-02-08 | 2024 | App State @ Texas State | 56–63 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Southern Miss @ Texas State | 55–60 | regular |
| 2024-02-02 | 2024 | South Alabama @ Texas State | 66–74 | regular |
| 2024-01-28 | 2024 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 46–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-25 | 2024 | Texas State @ Troy | 65–78 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 79–72 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 86–68 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 67–54 | regular |
| 2024-01-12 | 2024 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 82–85 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Marshall @ Texas State | 79–75 | regular |
| 2024-01-05 | 2024 | Coastal Carolina @ Texas State | 71–63 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Texas State @ James Madison | 65–82 | regular |
| 2023-12-22 | 2024 | Texas State @ Houston | 37–72 | regular |
| 2023-12-19 | 2024 | LeTourneau @ Texas State | 68–110 | non_d1 |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Texas State @ Sam Houston | 73–60 | regular |
| 2023-12-12 | 2024 | Jarvis Christian @ Texas State | 58–107 | non_d1 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2024 | Texas State @ Texas | 58–77 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | Texas State @ UT Arlington | 73–66 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | Texas State @ Southern Utah N | 67–74 | regular |
| 2023-11-21 | 2024 | McNeese @ Texas State N | 59–48 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | UTSA @ Texas State | 62–72 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Texas State @ Oklahoma | 54–93 | regular |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Texas State @ Miami (OH) | 75–65 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Texas State @ Little Rock | 66–71 | regular |