cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.72 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.25 to 0.66 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261519 0.441

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-12 2026 Northwestern @ Purdue N 68–81 conf_tournament
2026-03-11 2026 Northwestern @ Indiana N 74–61 conf_tournament
2026-03-10 2026 Penn State @ Northwestern N 66–76 conf_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 Northwestern @ Minnesota 66–67 regular
2026-03-05 2026 Purdue @ Northwestern 70–66 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Oregon @ Northwestern 62–63 regular
2026-02-25 2026 Northwestern @ Indiana 72–68 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Maryland @ Northwestern 74–78 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Northwestern @ Nebraska 49–68 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Michigan @ Northwestern 87–75 regular
2026-02-08 2026 Northwestern @ Iowa 70–76 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Northwestern @ Illinois 44–84 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Washington @ Northwestern 76–62 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Penn State @ Northwestern 73–94 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Northwestern @ UCLA 64–71 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Northwestern @ USC 74–68 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Nebraska @ Northwestern 77–58 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Illinois @ Northwestern 79–68 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Northwestern @ Rutgers 75–77 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Northwestern @ Michigan State 66–76 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Minnesota @ Northwestern 84–78 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Howard @ Northwestern 60–80 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Northwestern @ Butler N 58–61 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Valparaiso @ Northwestern 70–86 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Jackson State @ Northwestern 53–93 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Ohio State @ Northwestern 86–82 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 73–85 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Oklahoma State @ Northwestern 86–81 regular
2025-11-23 2026 South Carolina @ Northwestern N 77–79 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Northwestern @ Virginia N 78–83 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Northwestern @ DePaul 81–79 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Cleveland State @ Northwestern 63–110 regular
2025-11-07 2026 Boston University @ Northwestern 52–76 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Mercyhurst @ Northwestern 47–70 regular