cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb #7 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.39 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.29 to 0.61 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Northwestern @ UCLA N 63–68 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-16 2023 Boise State @ Northwestern N 67–75 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Penn State @ Northwestern N 67–65 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 Northwestern @ Rutgers 65–53 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Penn State @ Northwestern 68–65 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Northwestern @ Maryland 59–75 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Northwestern @ Illinois 62–66 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Iowa @ Northwestern 60–80 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Indiana @ Northwestern 62–64 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Purdue @ Northwestern 58–64 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Northwestern @ Ohio State 69–63 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 54–52 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Michigan @ Northwestern 68–51 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Northwestern @ Iowa 70–86 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Minnesota @ Northwestern 61–81 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Northwestern @ Nebraska 78–63 regular
2023-01-23 2023 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 63–66 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Wisconsin @ Northwestern scheduled regular
2023-01-19 2023 Northwestern @ Iowa scheduled regular
2023-01-15 2023 Northwestern @ Michigan 78–85 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Rutgers @ Northwestern 65–62 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Northwestern @ Indiana 84–83 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Illinois @ Northwestern 60–73 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Ohio State @ Northwestern 73–57 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Brown @ Northwestern 58–63 regular
2022-12-21 2023 UIC @ Northwestern 54–92 regular
2022-12-17 2023 DePaul @ Northwestern 45–83 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Prairie View A&M @ Northwestern 51–61 regular
2022-12-05 2023 Northwestern @ Michigan State 70–63 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Pittsburgh @ Northwestern 87–58 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Auburn @ Northwestern N 43–42 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Liberty @ Northwestern N 52–66 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northwestern 52–60 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Northwestern @ Georgetown 75–63 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Northern Illinois @ Northwestern 46–63 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Chicago State @ Northwestern 54–85 regular