cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.78 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans -0.27 to 0.67 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021915 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-10 2021 Minnesota @ Northwestern N 51–46 conf_tournament
2021-03-07 2021 Nebraska @ Northwestern 78–79 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Maryland @ Northwestern 55–60 regular
2021-02-26 2021 Northwestern @ Minnesota 67–59 regular
2021-02-22 2021 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 68–51 regular
2021-02-17 2021 Northwestern @ Illinois 66–73 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Northwestern @ Rutgers 50–64 regular
2021-02-10 2021 Indiana @ Northwestern 79–76 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Northwestern @ Purdue 70–75 regular
2021-02-04 2021 Michigan @ Northwestern canceled regular
2021-02-01 2021 Rutgers @ Northwestern 64–56 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Northwestern @ Penn State 78–81 regular
2021-01-21 2021 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 52–68 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Iowa @ Northwestern 96–73 regular
2021-01-14 2021 Northwestern @ Ohio State 71–81 regular
2021-01-08 2021 Illinois @ Northwestern 81–56 regular
2021-01-04 2021 Northwestern @ Michigan 66–85 regular
2020-12-30 2021 Northwestern @ Iowa 72–87 regular
2020-12-26 2021 Ohio State @ Northwestern 70–71 regular
2020-12-24 2021 Northwestern @ Indiana 74–67 regular
2020-12-21 2021 Michigan State @ Northwestern 65–79 regular
2020-12-15 2021 Quincy @ Northwestern 48–100 non_d1
2020-12-13 2021 SIU Edwardsville @ Northwestern canceled regular
2020-12-10 2021 Pittsburgh @ Northwestern 71–70 regular
2020-12-05 2021 Chicago State @ Northwestern 66–111 regular
2020-12-03 2021 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Northwestern 49–92 regular
2020-11-25 2021 Prairie View A&M @ Northwestern canceled regular