cbb·system

womens · season 2014

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2014-04-09 teams rated 341 cutoffs in the walk 84
womens 2014: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Saint Francis 2. Quinnipiac 3. Troy 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Quinnipiac 3. Oregon 4. Troy 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Quinnipiac 3. Troy 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Quinnipiac 3. Troy 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Quinnipiac 3. Troy 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Quinnipiac 3. Troy 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Oregon 4. Quinnipiac 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Oregon 4. Quinnipiac 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Oregon 5. Sacramento State1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Quinnipiac 4. Sacramento State 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Sacramento State 4. Quinnipiac 5. Oregon1. Saint Francis 2. Troy 3. Sacramento State 4. Quinnipiac 5. Oregon1. Saint Peter's 2. Rider 3. American University 4. Gardner-Webb 5. Massachusetts1. Saint Peter's 2. Rider 3. American University 4. Gardner-Webb 5. Vermont1. Saint Peter's 2. Rider 3. American University 4. Gardner-Webb 5. Vermont1. Saint Peter's 2. Rider 3. American University 4. Gardner-Webb 5. Montana1. Saint Peter's 2. Rider 3. American University 4. Gardner-Webb 5. Montana1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Rider 5. Kent State1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Rider 5. Kent State1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Rider 5. Kent State1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Kent State 5. Norfolk State1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Kent State 5. Norfolk State1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Kent State 5. Norfolk State1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Kent State 5. UMBC1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Kent State 5. UMBC1. Saint Peter's 2. American University 3. Gardner-Webb 4. Kent State 5. UMBC
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 84 cutoffs from 2013-12-17 to 2014-04-09. Axis spans 75.99 to 315.72. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). The shortest drawn line covers 14 of the 84 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2014-01-25, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Saint Peter's
  • Rider
  • American University
  • Gardner-Webb
  • Montana
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Saint Peter's Peacocks 278.57 6 —
2 Rider Broncs 258.47 6 —
3 American University Eagles 255.49 6 —
4 Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 253.69 6 —
5 Montana Lady Griz 223.64 2 —
6 New Mexico State Aggies 222.86 2 —
7 Boise State Broncos 222.11 2 —
8 Norfolk State Spartans 221.27 2 —
9 North Carolina A&T Aggies 221.16 2 —
10 Kent State Golden Flashes 218.54 2 —
11 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 217.99 2 —
12 UMBC Retrievers 209.91 5 —
13 Vermont Catamounts 207.18 5 —
14 Bryant Bulldogs 204.74 3 —
15 LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds 203.01 3 —
16 Northern Kentucky Norse 176.13 1 —
17 Harvard Crimson 175.76 1 —
18 Massachusetts Minutewomen 101.07 7 —
19 Saint Francis Red Wolves 98.23 71 —
20 Troy Trojans 96.64 71 —
21 Sacramento State Hornets 92.54 71 —
22 Oregon Ducks 91.76 71 —
23 San José State Spartans 90.52 71 —
24 Quinnipiac Bobcats 87.93 71 —
25 Bradley Braves 87.36 71 —

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2014-03-22) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.