cbb·system

womens · season 2025

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2025-04-06 teams rated 362 cutoffs in the walk 100
womens 2025: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Grambling 2. Oklahoma 3. Niagara 4. Northern Arizona 5. Michigan State1. Grambling 2. Oklahoma 3. Niagara 4. Northern Arizona 5. Troy1. Grambling 2. Oklahoma 3. Niagara 4. Troy 5. Northern Arizona1. Grambling 2. Oklahoma 3. Niagara 4. Tennessee 5. Northern Arizona1. Grambling 2. Niagara 3. Oklahoma 4. Tennessee 5. Northern Arizona1. Grambling 2. Niagara 3. Oklahoma 4. Tennessee 5. Northern Arizona1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Tennessee 4. Oklahoma 5. Northern Arizona1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Murray State 4. Oklahoma 5. Tennessee1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Oklahoma 4. Murray State 5. Tennessee1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Oklahoma 4. Tennessee 5. Murray State1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Tennessee 4. Murray State 5. Oklahoma1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Tennessee 4. Murray State 5. Oklahoma1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Murray State 4. Tennessee 5. Oklahoma1. Niagara 2. Grambling 3. Murray State 4. Tennessee 5. Oklahoma1. Niagara 2. Murray State 3. Grambling 4. Tennessee 5. Oklahoma1. Niagara 2. Murray State 3. Grambling 4. Tennessee 5. Oklahoma1. Niagara 2. Murray State 3. Grambling 4. Oklahoma 5. Tennessee1. Niagara 2. Murray State 3. Oklahoma 4. Tennessee 5. Grambling1. Niagara 2. Murray State 3. Oklahoma 4. Tennessee 5. North Carolina Central1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. Murray State 4. North Carolina Central 5. Tennessee1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Tennessee1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Tennessee1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Grambling1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Grambling1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Grambling 5. Murray State1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Grambling 5. Troy1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Grambling1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Grambling 5. Murray State1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Grambling1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Grambling 5. Troy1. Oklahoma 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. Grambling 5. Troy1. Niagara 2. Oklahoma 3. North Carolina Central 4. Troy 5. Murray State1. Oklahoma 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. Troy 5. Murray State1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. Troy1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Tennessee 5. Murray State1. Oklahoma 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. Murray State 5. Florida State1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. Florida State1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. Florida State1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. Florida State1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Troy 5. Murray State1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Oral Roberts 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Oral Roberts 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Niagara 5. Oral Roberts1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Niagara 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Niagara 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Niagara 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Troy 5. Oral Roberts1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Troy 5. Oral Roberts1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Tennessee 5. Oral Roberts1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Tennessee 5. Oral Roberts1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Tennessee 5. Troy1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Oral Roberts 5. Troy1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Oral Roberts 5. Troy1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Oral Roberts 5. Troy1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Oral Roberts 4. Troy 5. Niagara1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Oral Roberts 5. Niagara1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Oral Roberts 5. Tennessee1. Oklahoma 2. North Carolina Central 3. Troy 4. Oral Roberts 5. Niagara
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 100 cutoffs from 2024-12-07 to 2025-04-06. Axis spans 71.38 to 82.00. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2025-01-24, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Oklahoma
  • North Carolina Central
  • Niagara
  • Tennessee
  • Oral Roberts
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Oklahoma Sooners 78.68 86 Sweet 16 (out)
2 North Carolina Central Eagles 77.77 86 —
3 Niagara Purple Eagles 76.89 86 —
4 Tennessee Lady Volunteers 76.36 86 Sweet 16 (out)
5 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 76.33 86 —
6 Troy Trojans 76.27 86 —
7 Florida State Seminoles 75.21 86 Round of 32 (out)
8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 75.09 86 Sweet 16 (out)
9 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 74.84 86 —
10 Murray State Racers 74.79 86 Round of 64 (out)
11 LSU New Orleans Privateers 74.30 86 —
12 Grambling Lady Tigers 74.20 86 —
13 Chicago State Cougars 74.08 86 —
14 Arkansas State Red Wolves 73.95 86 Round of 64 (out)
15 Bellarmine Knights 73.83 86 —
16 Utah State Aggies 73.81 86 —
17 Indiana State Sycamores 73.80 86 —
18 Duquesne Dukes 73.80 86 —
19 LSU Tigers 73.67 86 Elite 8 (out)
20 Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks 73.66 86 Round of 64 (out)
21 Tulane Green Wave 73.50 86 —
22 USC Trojans 73.44 86 Elite 8 (out)
23 UT Arlington Mavericks 73.40 86 —
24 Michigan State Spartans 73.35 86 Round of 32 (out)
25 Cal State Northridge Matadors 73.35 86 —

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2025-03-16) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.