cbb·system

womens · season 2023

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2023-04-02 teams rated 361 cutoffs in the walk 94
womens 2023: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Troy 2. California Baptist 3. Georgia Southern 4. Northern Arizona 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Georgia Southern 4. California Baptist 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Drake 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Drake 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Northern Arizona 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Northern Arizona 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Georgia Southern 4. Northern Arizona 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. Northern Arizona 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. Northern Arizona 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Oral Roberts1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Oral Roberts1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Oral Roberts1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Niagara1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. Northern Arizona 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Northern Arizona 4. Georgia Southern 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Northern Arizona 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Northern Arizona 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Niagara 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Niagara 5. Northern Arizona1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Niagara1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Niagara1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 94 cutoffs from 2022-12-10 to 2023-04-02. Axis spans 72.27 to 84.93. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2023-01-22, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Troy
  • Oral Roberts
  • Oklahoma
  • Niagara
  • North Carolina Central
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Troy Trojans 82.41 81 —
2 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 79.53 81 —
3 Oklahoma Sooners 77.11 81 Round of 32 (out)
4 Niagara Purple Eagles 76.98 81 —
5 North Carolina Central Eagles 76.50 81 —
6 California Baptist Lancers 76.12 81 —
7 Chicago State Cougars 75.72 81 —
8 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 75.60 81 —
9 Florida State Seminoles 75.48 81 Round of 64 (out)
10 UT Arlington Mavericks 75.06 81 —
11 Pacific Tigers 75.04 81 —
12 Georgia Southern Eagles 74.94 81 —
13 Eastern Kentucky Colonels 74.86 81 —
14 Fordham Rams 74.78 81 —
15 Drake Bulldogs 74.74 81 Round of 64 (out)
16 SIU Edwardsville Cougars 74.69 81 —
17 McNeese Cowgirls 74.63 81 —
18 Minnesota Golden Gophers 74.57 81 —
19 Longwood Lancers 74.45 81 —
20 Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers 74.29 81 —
21 Texas Southern Tigers 74.26 81 —
22 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 74.13 81 —
23 DePaul Blue Demons 74.12 81 —
24 Iowa Hawkeyes 73.96 81 Title game (out)
25 Houston Cougars 73.72 81 —

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2023-03-12) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.