end state
cutoff 2023-04-02
teams rated
361
cutoffs in the walk
94
womens 2023: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffs warm-up: before this line the median team had played fewer than 18 games and the rating (a mean) has not yet settled start of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament 1. Troy 2. California Baptist 3. Georgia Southern 4. Northern Arizona 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Georgia Southern 4. California Baptist 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Drake 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Drake 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Northern Arizona 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Northern Arizona 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Georgia Southern 4. Northern Arizona 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. Northern Arizona 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. Northern Arizona 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Oral Roberts 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Oral Roberts 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Oral Roberts 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Georgia Southern 3. Oral Roberts 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Drake 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Niagara 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Georgia Southern 4. Northern Arizona 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Northern Arizona 4. Georgia Southern 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Northern Arizona 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Northern Arizona 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Niagara 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Niagara 5. Northern Arizona 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Niagara 4. Oklahoma 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Niagara 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oklahoma 5. Niagara 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central 1. Troy 2. Oral Roberts 3. Oklahoma 4. Niagara 5. North Carolina Central
AdjPace (possessions per game) across
train_cutoff_at — 94 cutoffs from
2022-12-10 to 2023-04-02.
Axis spans 72.27 to 84.93.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
Series: smoothed (causal EWMA) .
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2023-01-22, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
Troy
Oral Roberts
Oklahoma
Niagara
North Carolina Central
20 more, drawn as grey context
The top 25 going into the tournament
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff
(2023-03-12) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA
tournament game. This is the
rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two
are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff.
A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a
team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.