cbb·system

womens · season 2023

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

end state cutoff 2023-04-02 teams rated 361 cutoffs in the walk 125
womens 2023: AdjME for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. Utah 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Iowa State1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. LSU1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. NC State1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. LSU1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. LSU1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. Creighton1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. Virginia Tech1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. Indiana 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. Indiana 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. Indiana 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. UConn 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. UConn 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. UConn 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Oregon1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Oregon1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. LSU 3. UConn 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Notre Dame 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Notre Dame 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. LSU 3. UConn 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. LSU1. South Carolina 2. Indiana 3. Stanford 4. LSU 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. LSU 3. Indiana 4. Stanford 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. Indiana 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. LSU1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. Indiana 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. LSU 3. Stanford 4. Indiana 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. UConn 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Indiana 4. LSU 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. LSU 4. Stanford 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. UConn 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. LSU 4. UConn 5. Indiana1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. LSU1. South Carolina 2. LSU 3. UConn 4. Indiana 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. LSU 5. Iowa
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 125 cutoffs from 2022-11-21 to 2023-04-02. Axis spans 0.14 to 0.91. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2023-01-22, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • South Carolina
  • Stanford
  • LSU
  • UConn
  • Indiana
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjME Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.64 109 Final Four (out)
2 Stanford Cardinal 0.49 109 Round of 32 (out)
3 LSU Tigers 0.48 109 Champion
4 UConn Huskies 0.47 109 Sweet 16 (out)
5 Indiana Hoosiers 0.45 109 Round of 32 (out)
6 Iowa Hawkeyes 0.43 109 Title game (out)
7 Virginia Tech Hokies 0.42 109 Final Four (out)
8 Utah Utes 0.42 109 Sweet 16 (out)
9 Texas Longhorns 0.42 109 Round of 32 (out)
10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.41 109 Sweet 16 (out)
11 Villanova Wildcats 0.39 109 Sweet 16 (out)
12 Iowa State Cyclones 0.39 109 Round of 64 (out)
13 Maryland Terrapins 0.38 109 Elite 8 (out)
14 Duke Blue Devils 0.38 109 Round of 32 (out)
15 Tennessee Lady Volunteers 0.36 109 Sweet 16 (out)
16 Oregon Ducks 0.36 109 —
17 North Carolina Tar Heels 0.36 109 Round of 32 (out)
18 NC State Wolfpack 0.36 109 Round of 64 (out)
19 Creighton Bluejays 0.36 109 Round of 64 (out)
20 Colorado Buffaloes 0.36 109 Sweet 16 (out)
21 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.35 109 Elite 8 (out)
22 Michigan Wolverines 0.34 109 Round of 32 (out)
23 Florida State Seminoles 0.34 109 Round of 64 (out)
24 Louisville Cardinals 0.34 109 Elite 8 (out)
25 Ole Miss Rebels 0.34 109 Sweet 16 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2023-03-12) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.