cbb·system

womens · season 2026

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

end state cutoff 2026-04-05 teams rated 363 cutoffs in the walk 129
womens 2026: AdjME for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Texas 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. TCU 5. LSU1. Texas 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. LSU 5. TCU1. Texas 2. LSU 3. South Carolina 4. TCU 5. UCLA1. Texas 2. LSU 3. UConn 4. TCU 5. Michigan1. Texas 2. UConn 3. Michigan 4. UCLA 5. LSU1. UConn 2. LSU 3. Texas 4. UCLA 5. Michigan1. UConn 2. Michigan 3. LSU 4. UCLA 5. Texas1. UConn 2. Michigan 3. LSU 4. UCLA 5. Texas1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Michigan 4. LSU 5. South Carolina1. UConn 2. Michigan 3. UCLA 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UConn 2. Michigan 3. UCLA 4. LSU 5. Texas1. UConn 2. Michigan 3. LSU 4. UCLA 5. South Carolina1. UConn 2. Michigan 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Michigan 4. Texas 5. South Carolina1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. Michigan1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. Michigan1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. Michigan1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. Michigan1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. Michigan1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. LSU 5. South Carolina1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. LSU 5. South Carolina1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. LSU 5. South Carolina1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. LSU 5. Texas1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. LSU 5. Texas1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. UCLA 4. LSU 5. Texas1. UCLA 2. UConn 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UCLA 2. UConn 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UCLA 2. UConn 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. LSU 5. Texas1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UCLA 2. UConn 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UCLA 2. UConn 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU1. UCLA 2. UConn 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. South Carolina 4. Texas 5. LSU1. UConn 2. UCLA 3. Texas 4. South Carolina 5. LSU
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 129 cutoffs from 2025-11-19 to 2026-04-05. Axis spans 0.20 to 0.77. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2026-01-23, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • UConn
  • UCLA
  • South Carolina
  • Texas
  • LSU
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjME Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 UConn Huskies 0.73 112 Final Four (out)
2 UCLA Bruins 0.69 112 Champion
3 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.65 112 Title game (out)
4 Texas Longhorns 0.63 112 Final Four (out)
5 LSU Tigers 0.58 112 Sweet 16 (out)
6 Michigan Wolverines 0.52 112 Elite 8 (out)
7 Duke Blue Devils 0.48 112 Elite 8 (out)
8 Vanderbilt Commodores 0.47 112 Sweet 16 (out)
9 Maryland Terrapins 0.46 112 Round of 32 (out)
10 Iowa Hawkeyes 0.45 112 Round of 32 (out)
11 Oklahoma Sooners 0.44 112 Sweet 16 (out)
12 Louisville Cardinals 0.44 112 Sweet 16 (out)
13 Kentucky Wildcats 0.44 112 Sweet 16 (out)
14 TCU Horned Frogs 0.44 112 Elite 8 (out)
15 Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.44 112 Sweet 16 (out)
16 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.43 112 Round of 32 (out)
17 Michigan State Spartans 0.42 112 Round of 32 (out)
18 West Virginia Mountaineers 0.41 112 Round of 32 (out)
19 Ole Miss Rebels 0.40 112 Round of 32 (out)
20 North Carolina Tar Heels 0.39 112 Sweet 16 (out)
21 USC Trojans 0.38 112 Round of 32 (out)
22 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.37 112 Elite 8 (out)
23 Tennessee Lady Volunteers 0.37 112 Round of 64 (out)
24 Nebraska Cornhuskers 0.37 112 Round of 64 (out)
25 Washington Huskies 0.36 112 Round of 32 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2026-03-15) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.