cbb·system

womens · season 2024

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

end state cutoff 2024-04-07 teams rated 360 cutoffs in the walk 131
womens 2024: AdjME for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. South Carolina 2. NC State 3. Stanford 4. Notre Dame 5. UConn1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. NC State 4. Iowa 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Iowa 4. Notre Dame 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Notre Dame 4. UCLA 5. NC State1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UCLA 4. Iowa 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. Iowa 3. UCLA 4. Stanford 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. Iowa 3. Stanford 4. Utah 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Iowa 4. Utah 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. Notre Dame 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. Utah 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Utah 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Utah 3. Stanford 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. Utah 4. Stanford 5. NC State1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. Stanford 4. Notre Dame 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. Stanford 4. Utah 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. Notre Dame 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. Stanford 4. UCLA 5. Notre Dame1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Iowa 4. Texas 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. Utah 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. Iowa 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. UConn 4. Stanford 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. UConn 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. Stanford 4. UConn 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. UCLA 4. Stanford 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Stanford 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Stanford 5. Utah1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Iowa 4. Texas 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Stanford 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Iowa 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. Texas 4. UConn 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Iowa 3. UConn 4. Texas 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. UCLA 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Iowa 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Texas 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. Iowa 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Stanford 3. UConn 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Stanford 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Stanford 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. UCLA 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Stanford 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. UCLA 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Stanford 4. Texas 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Iowa 4. Texas 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Iowa 4. Texas 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. UCLA 4. Iowa 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. UCLA 4. Iowa 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. UCLA 4. Stanford 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. UCLA 4. Iowa 5. Texas1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. UCLA 4. Texas 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. UConn 4. Iowa 5. UCLA1. South Carolina 2. Texas 3. UConn 4. UCLA 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Iowa 5. Stanford1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. UCLA 5. Iowa1. South Carolina 2. UConn 3. Texas 4. Iowa 5. UCLA
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 131 cutoffs from 2023-11-20 to 2024-04-07. Axis spans 0.03 to 0.87. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2024-01-26, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • South Carolina
  • UConn
  • UCLA
  • Iowa
  • Texas
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjME Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.62 114 Champion
2 UConn Huskies 0.55 114 Final Four (out)
3 UCLA Bruins 0.53 114 Sweet 16 (out)
4 Iowa Hawkeyes 0.51 114 Title game (out)
5 Texas Longhorns 0.50 114 Elite 8 (out)
6 Stanford Cardinal 0.49 114 Sweet 16 (out)
7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.47 114 Sweet 16 (out)
8 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.46 114 Round of 32 (out)
9 LSU Tigers 0.45 114 Elite 8 (out)
10 USC Trojans 0.45 114 Elite 8 (out)
11 Oregon State Beavers 0.44 114 Elite 8 (out)
12 Gonzaga Bulldogs 0.44 114 Sweet 16 (out)
13 Utah Utes 0.44 114 Round of 32 (out)
14 Indiana Hoosiers 0.42 114 Sweet 16 (out)
15 Colorado Buffaloes 0.42 114 Sweet 16 (out)
16 Kansas State Wildcats 0.42 114 Round of 32 (out)
17 NC State Wolfpack 0.41 114 Final Four (out)
18 Baylor Bears 0.40 114 Sweet 16 (out)
19 West Virginia Mountaineers 0.40 114 Round of 32 (out)
20 Virginia Tech Hokies 0.39 114 Round of 32 (out)
21 Duke Blue Devils 0.38 114 Sweet 16 (out)
22 Nebraska Cornhuskers 0.37 114 Round of 32 (out)
23 Louisville Cardinals 0.36 114 Round of 64 (out)
24 Michigan State Spartans 0.36 114 Round of 64 (out)
25 Tennessee Lady Volunteers 0.34 114 Round of 32 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2024-03-17) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.