cbb·system

womens · season 2021

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2021-04-04 teams rated 345 cutoffs in the walk 78
womens 2021: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Towson 4. Troy 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. North Carolina Central 5. Towson1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. Sam Houston 2. DePaul 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Towson 4. Troy 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Towson 4. Troy 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Troy 3. Sam Houston 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Troy 3. Sam Houston 4. Towson 5. Vanderbilt1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. Vanderbilt1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. North Carolina Central1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. Vanderbilt1. DePaul 2. Sam Houston 3. Troy 4. Towson 5. Vanderbilt1. Sam Houston 2. Troy 3. DePaul 4. Towson 5. Vanderbilt1. Sam Houston 2. Troy 3. DePaul 4. Vanderbilt 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. Troy 3. DePaul 4. Vanderbilt 5. Towson1. Sam Houston 2. Troy 3. DePaul 4. Vanderbilt 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. Sam Houston 4. North Carolina Central 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt1. Troy 2. DePaul 3. North Carolina Central 4. Sam Houston 5. Vanderbilt
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 78 cutoffs from 2021-01-07 to 2021-04-04. Axis spans 60.38 to 91.58. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2021-02-23, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Troy
  • DePaul
  • Sam Houston
  • North Carolina Central
  • Vanderbilt
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Troy Trojans 81.28 67 Round of 64 (out)
2 DePaul Blue Demons 79.69 67 —
3 Sam Houston Bearkats 78.33 67 —
4 North Carolina Central Eagles 78.21 67 —
5 Vanderbilt Commodores 77.60 67 —
6 Towson Tigers 76.94 67 —
7 Howard Bison 76.22 67 —
8 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 75.81 67 —
9 Queens University Royals 75.52 67 —
10 California Baptist Lancers 75.47 67 —
11 Utah State Aggies 75.43 67 —
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 75.39 67 —
13 Houston Cougars 75.28 67 —
14 Niagara Purple Eagles 75.03 67 —
15 Ohio State Buckeyes 74.90 67 —
16 Western Illinois Leathernecks 74.87 67 —
17 Charleston Cougars 74.78 67 —
18 SMU Mustangs 74.61 67 —
19 Seattle U Redhawks 74.55 67 —
20 Arkansas Razorbacks 74.37 67 Round of 64 (out)
21 Ohio Bobcats 74.33 67 —
22 East Texas A&M Lions 74.20 67 —
23 Lehigh Mountain Hawks 74.14 67 Round of 64 (out)
24 Seton Hall Pirates 74.13 67 —
25 Charlotte 49ers 73.97 67 —

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2021-03-21) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.