cbb·system

womens · season 2024

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2024-04-07 teams rated 360 cutoffs in the walk 103
womens 2024: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. North Carolina Central 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. Marshall 5. Evansville1. North Carolina Central 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. Marshall 5. Evansville1. North Carolina Central 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. Marshall 5. Oklahoma1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Oklahoma1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Troy1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Troy1. Marshall 2. Georgia Southern 3. Murray State 4. North Carolina Central 5. Troy1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Troy1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Georgia Southern 4. North Carolina Central 5. Troy1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Troy 4. Georgia Southern 5. North Carolina Central1. Marshall 2. Murray State 3. Troy 4. Georgia Southern 5. North Carolina Central1. Troy 2. Murray State 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. Georgia Southern1. Murray State 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. Georgia Southern1. Troy 2. Murray State 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. Penn State1. Murray State 2. Troy 3. North Carolina Central 4. Marshall 5. Penn State1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Georgia Southern 5. Penn State1. North Carolina Central 2. Troy 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Georgia Southern1. North Carolina Central 2. Troy 3. Murray State 4. Georgia Southern 5. Penn State1. North Carolina Central 2. Troy 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Georgia Southern1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Georgia Southern1. North Carolina Central 2. Troy 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Georgia Southern1. North Carolina Central 2. Murray State 3. Troy 4. Penn State 5. Georgia Southern1. North Carolina Central 2. Troy 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Niagara1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Niagara1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Penn State 5. Niagara1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Murray State 4. Niagara 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. Murray State 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. North Carolina Central 3. Niagara 4. California Baptist 5. Murray State1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. Oral Roberts 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. California Baptist 5. Oral Roberts1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. California Baptist 5. Oral Roberts1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. Marshall 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. Marshall 5. California Baptist1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. North Carolina Central 4. California Baptist 5. Marshall1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Troy 2. Niagara 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. California Baptist 4. North Carolina Central 5. Marshall1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. California Baptist 5. North Carolina Central1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. California Baptist1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. California Baptist 5. North Carolina Central1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. North Carolina Central 4. Marshall 5. California Baptist1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. California Baptist1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. California Baptist1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. California Baptist1. Niagara 2. Troy 3. Marshall 4. North Carolina Central 5. California Baptist
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 103 cutoffs from 2023-12-10 to 2024-04-07. Axis spans 69.96 to 80.44. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2024-01-26, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Niagara
  • Troy
  • California Baptist
  • North Carolina Central
  • Marshall
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Niagara Purple Eagles 79.61 87 —
2 Troy Trojans 79.46 87 —
3 California Baptist Lancers 78.24 87 Round of 64 (out)
4 North Carolina Central Eagles 77.60 87 —
5 Marshall Thundering Herd 77.47 87 Round of 64 (out)
6 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 76.77 87 —
7 Chicago State Cougars 75.99 87 —
8 Murray State Racers 75.97 87 —
9 Long Beach State Beach 75.89 87 —
10 Georgia Southern Eagles 75.74 87 —
11 Iowa Hawkeyes 75.64 87 Title game (out)
12 Oklahoma Sooners 75.50 87 Round of 32 (out)
13 Florida State Seminoles 75.46 87 Round of 64 (out)
14 East Texas A&M Lions 75.42 87 —
15 Penn State Lady Lions 75.26 87 —
16 DePaul Blue Demons 75.20 87 —
17 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 74.68 87 —
18 Evansville Purple Aces 74.45 87 —
19 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 74.36 87 —
20 App State Mountaineers 74.34 87 —
21 Sam Houston Bearkats 74.33 87 —
22 LSU Tigers 74.31 87 Elite 8 (out)
23 LSU New Orleans Privateers 74.15 87 —
24 Pacific Tigers 74.12 87 —
25 Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 73.96 87 —

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2024-03-17) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.