cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.17
PACE 68.18 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.30 to 0.52 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142011 0.645

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-09 2014 Winthrop @ Liberty N 65–59 conf_tournament
2014-03-06 2014 Presbyterian @ Liberty N 42–67 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Liberty @ Longwood 69–47 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Liberty @ Radford 90–46 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Winthrop @ Liberty 69–80 regular
2014-02-21 2014 UNC Asheville @ Liberty 49–64 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Liberty @ Gardner-Webb 72–62 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Liberty @ Presbyterian 43–46 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Charleston Southern @ Liberty 45–66 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Coastal Carolina @ Liberty 46–64 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Liberty @ Campbell 55–61 regular
2014-01-31 2014 High Point @ Liberty 94–89 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Longwood @ Liberty 41–74 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Liberty @ UNC Asheville 80–83 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Liberty @ Winthrop 77–70 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Presbyterian @ Liberty 51–59 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Gardner-Webb @ Liberty 40–72 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Liberty @ Coastal Carolina 71–62 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Liberty @ Charleston Southern 92–69 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Liberty @ High Point 70–75 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Campbell @ Liberty 52–75 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Liberty @ UNC Wilmington 64–55 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Radford @ Liberty 49–70 regular
2013-12-04 2014 Richmond @ Liberty 61–76 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Liberty @ Savannah State N 89–79 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Fresno State @ Liberty N 70–66 regular
2013-11-26 2014 Liberty @ Kutztown 72–56 non_d1
2013-11-23 2014 Liberty @ Saint Joseph's 65–77 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Virginia @ Liberty 61–60 regular
2013-11-13 2014 James Madison @ Liberty 67–56 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Liberty @ Charlotte 56–66 regular