cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.80 possessions per game 5.13

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.47 to 0.40 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182410 0.706

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-16 2018 Liberty @ Tennessee N 60–100 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-11 2018 UNC Asheville @ Liberty 42–60 conf_tournament
2018-03-10 2018 High Point @ Liberty N 54–78 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Charleston Southern @ Liberty N 53–80 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 High Point @ Liberty 49–57 regular
2018-02-28 2018 Longwood @ Liberty 36–73 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Liberty @ Charleston Southern 95–57 regular
2018-02-21 2018 Liberty @ Winthrop 73–53 regular
2018-02-17 2018 UNC Asheville @ Liberty 48–53 regular
2018-02-14 2018 Liberty @ Radford 45–52 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Liberty @ Campbell 46–33 regular
2018-02-07 2018 Gardner-Webb @ Liberty 41–59 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Presbyterian @ Liberty 55–63 regular
2018-01-31 2018 Liberty @ High Point 65–42 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Radford @ Liberty 56–61 regular
2018-01-24 2018 Liberty @ Longwood 63–51 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Campbell @ Liberty 42–60 regular
2018-01-17 2018 Liberty @ UNC Asheville 41–48 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Liberty @ Gardner-Webb 85–60 regular
2018-01-10 2018 Winthrop @ Liberty 37–63 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Charleston Southern @ Liberty 53–63 regular
2018-01-03 2018 Liberty @ Presbyterian 76–64 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Liberty @ Duke 51–68 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Liberty @ Northern Colorado N 57–65 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Liberty @ Denver N 82–69 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Shippensburg @ Liberty 43–105 non_d1
2017-12-07 2018 Liberty @ James Madison 47–58 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Valparaiso @ Liberty 40–61 regular
2017-11-29 2018 Limestone @ Liberty 38–68 non_d1
2017-11-25 2018 Liberty @ Massachusetts 61–64 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Houston @ Liberty N 75–68 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Liberty @ Drake 68–96 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Liberty @ Michigan 50–74 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Liberty @ Old Dominion 63–55 regular