cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.85 possessions per game 5.57

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans -0.40 to 0.47 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021198 0.704

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-14 2021 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast N 62–84 conf_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 North Florida @ Liberty N 52–65 conf_tournament
2021-03-12 2021 Bellarmine @ Liberty N 59–88 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast 50–65 regular
2021-03-06 2021 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast 60–80 regular
2021-02-28 2021 Stetson @ Liberty 55–66 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Stetson @ Liberty 58–62 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Shepherd @ Liberty 65–73 non_d1
2021-02-14 2021 Liberty @ Bellarmine 79–73 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Liberty @ Bellarmine 76–62 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Liberty @ North Florida 67–68 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Liberty @ North Florida 80–85 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Jacksonville @ Liberty 52–78 regular
2021-01-30 2021 Jacksonville @ Liberty 46–78 regular
2021-01-17 2021 North Alabama @ Liberty 60–77 regular
2021-01-16 2021 North Alabama @ Liberty 63–86 regular
2021-01-10 2021 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 60–50 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 76–59 regular
2021-01-03 2021 Lipscomb @ Liberty 66–76 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Lipscomb @ Liberty 59–88 regular
2020-12-22 2021 Liberty @ William & Mary canceled regular
2020-12-19 2021 Belmont Abbey @ Liberty canceled non_d1
2020-12-16 2021 Liberty @ High Point 76–66 regular
2020-12-13 2021 Carson Newman @ Liberty 60–85 non_d1
2020-12-10 2021 Hampton @ Liberty 45–67 regular
2020-12-06 2021 Liberty @ Memphis 67–72 regular
2020-12-02 2021 Norfolk State @ Liberty 53–76 regular
2020-11-28 2021 Liberty @ Virginia Tech 66–81 regular
2020-11-25 2021 Liberty @ Ohio 72–76 regular