cbb·system

Penn State Lady Lions

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Sweet 16 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.17
PACE 73.66 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.11 to 0.65 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014248 0.750

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-30 2014 Penn State @ Stanford N 57–82 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-25 2014 Florida @ Penn State N 61–83 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-23 2014 Wichita State @ Penn State N 56–62 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 Ohio State @ Penn State N 99–82 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Michigan @ Penn State 62–77 regular
2014-02-25 2014 Penn State @ Nebraska 74–94 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Northwestern @ Penn State 73–82 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Wisconsin @ Penn State 68–78 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Penn State @ Indiana 71–63 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Penn State @ Ohio State 74–54 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Iowa @ Penn State 73–70 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Penn State @ Northwestern 79–75 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Penn State @ Purdue 75–72 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Minnesota @ Penn State 53–83 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Indiana @ Penn State 52–65 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Penn State @ Michigan State 66–54 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Ohio State @ Penn State 42–66 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Purdue @ Penn State 84–74 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Penn State @ Illinois 82–76 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Penn State @ Iowa 87–71 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Hartford @ Penn State 56–70 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Alcorn State @ Penn State 62–85 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Texas A&M @ Penn State 58–66 regular
2013-12-12 2014 Penn State @ South Dakota State 79–83 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Penn State @ Georgetown 77–68 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Notre Dame @ Penn State 77–67 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Illinois State @ Penn State N 60–72 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Oregon State @ Penn State N 56–61 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Bucknell @ Penn State 49–92 regular
2013-11-17 2014 UConn @ Penn State 71–52 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Fordham @ Penn State 61–78 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Saint Francis @ Penn State 77–117 regular