cbb·system

Penn State Lady Lions

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.85 possessions per game 4.18

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.45 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221118 0.379

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-02 2022 Rutgers @ Penn State N 75–50 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State 94–83 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Penn State @ Ohio State 55–78 regular
2022-02-21 2022 Penn State @ Michigan State 79–71 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Nebraska @ Penn State 76–83 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Penn State @ Rutgers 62–71 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Penn State @ Purdue 77–81 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Northwestern @ Penn State 78–72 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Penn State @ Nebraska 61–76 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Maryland @ Penn State 82–71 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Michigan State @ Penn State 79–58 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Iowa @ Penn State 107–79 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Penn State @ Wisconsin 57–69 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Penn State @ Northwestern 63–59 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Illinois @ Penn State 72–90 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Michigan @ Penn State 74–57 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Penn State @ Maryland 78–106 regular
2022-01-04 2022 Penn State @ Ohio State postponed regular
2021-12-30 2022 Iowa @ Penn State canceled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Towson @ Penn State canceled regular
2021-12-18 2022 Penn State @ Duquesne 68–60 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Youngstown State @ Penn State 58–78 regular
2021-12-10 2022 Rutgers @ Penn State 48–52 regular
2021-12-06 2022 Penn State @ Indiana 40–70 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Penn State @ Boston College 69–86 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Penn State @ Kent State N 74–81 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Penn State @ Iowa State N 59–93 regular
2021-11-27 2022 St. John's @ Penn State N 75–80 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Penn State @ Clemson 64–67 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Delaware State @ Penn State 51–120 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Rider @ Penn State 69–83 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Long Island University @ Penn State 66–85 regular