cbb·system

Penn State Lady Lions

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.17
PACE 73.13 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.35 to 0.39 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015624 0.200

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-04 2015 Penn State @ Indiana N 63–68 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Wisconsin @ Penn State 62–56 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Ohio State @ Penn State 88–70 regular
2015-02-24 2015 Penn State @ Maryland 34–65 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Minnesota @ Penn State 85–77 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Michigan State @ Penn State 74–67 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Penn State @ Purdue 54–50 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Maryland @ Penn State 77–62 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Penn State @ Rutgers 65–76 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Penn State @ Minnesota 64–75 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Northwestern @ Penn State 75–76 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Indiana @ Penn State 75–79 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Penn State @ Ohio State 60–69 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Penn State @ Nebraska 45–73 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Rutgers @ Penn State 71–51 regular
2015-01-07 2015 Penn State @ Wisconsin 46–65 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Illinois @ Penn State 91–76 regular
2015-01-01 2015 Penn State @ Michigan 53–89 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Penn State @ Iowa 52–77 regular
2014-12-21 2015 South Florida @ Penn State 90–87 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Rider @ Penn State 51–85 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Penn State @ Hartford 57–62 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Wagner @ Penn State 66–96 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Penn State @ Syracuse 39–61 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Penn State @ Samford N 56–59 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Penn State @ Liberty N 68–80 regular
2014-11-25 2015 St. Bonaventure @ Penn State 56–54 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Seton Hall @ Penn State 75–70 regular
2014-11-16 2015 UAlbany @ Penn State 54–53 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Towson @ Penn State 64–71 regular