cbb·system

Texas State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.58 possessions per game 5.13

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.25 to 1.46 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTexas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-13 2019 South Alabama @ Texas State N 68–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 UT Arlington @ Texas State 44–41 regular
2019-03-02 2019 South Alabama @ Texas State 45–77 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Troy @ Texas State 82–63 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Texas State @ Louisiana 71–65 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Texas State @ UL Monroe 62–51 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Little Rock @ Texas State 48–50 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Arkansas State @ Texas State 54–68 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Texas State @ Coastal Carolina 70–77 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Texas State @ App State 56–77 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Texas State @ UT Arlington 53–68 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Georgia Southern @ Texas State 65–55 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Georgia State @ Texas State 57–34 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Texas State @ Arkansas State 85–62 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Texas State @ Little Rock 47–62 regular
2019-01-12 2019 App State @ Texas State 62–49 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Coastal Carolina @ Texas State 58–73 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Texas State @ Georgia State 69–60 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Texas State @ Georgia Southern 64–52 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Texas A&M International @ Texas State 25–89 non_d1
2018-12-22 2019 Texas State @ Tulane 61–67 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Saint Mary's @ Texas State N 89–62 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Texas State @ Missouri 50–69 regular
2018-12-05 2019 St. Thomas (TX) @ Texas State 39–92 non_d1
2018-12-01 2019 Texas State @ Oklahoma State 55–66 regular
2018-11-27 2019 Texas State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 60–53 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Oral Roberts @ Texas State 81–64 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Texas State @ UTSA 68–60 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Montana State @ Texas State 67–59 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Nicholls @ Texas State 67–72 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Texas State @ New Mexico 51–82 regular