cbb·system

Texas State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.17
PACE 74.05 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.41 to 0.38 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151715 0.531

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTexas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-19 2015 Oral Roberts @ Texas State 57–54 other_postseason
2015-03-13 2015 Texas State @ Little Rock N 44–87 conf_tournament
2015-03-11 2015 UT Arlington @ Texas State N 46–52 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Texas State @ UL Monroe 84–90 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Texas State @ App State 55–61 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Arkansas State @ Texas State 74–83 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Troy @ Texas State 75–59 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Texas State @ Louisiana 41–64 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Georgia State @ Texas State 61–71 regular
2015-02-12 2015 UT Arlington @ Texas State 58–65 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Texas State @ Little Rock 43–70 regular
2015-02-04 2015 Texas State @ South Alabama 46–44 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Louisiana @ Texas State 83–81 regular
2015-01-24 2015 App State @ Texas State 58–67 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Georgia Southern @ Texas State 57–67 regular
2015-01-19 2015 Texas State @ UT Arlington 60–53 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Texas State @ Arkansas State 48–68 regular
2015-01-15 2015 South Alabama @ Texas State 42–63 regular
2015-01-10 2015 UL Monroe @ Texas State 64–70 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Little Rock @ Texas State 65–45 regular
2015-01-05 2015 Texas State @ Georgia State 69–74 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Texas State @ Georgia Southern 79–65 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Texas State @ Troy 74–72 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Texas State @ Stetson 57–75 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Bethune-Cookman @ Texas State N 40–51 regular
2014-12-14 2015 East Texas A&M @ Texas State 69–74 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Texas State @ UTSA 57–53 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Texas State @ Oklahoma State 37–64 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Lamar @ Texas State 72–79 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Houston Christian @ Texas State 61–56 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Texas State @ Texas Tech 77–81 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Texas A&M International @ Texas State 65–83 non_d1