cbb·system

Texas State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.96 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.54 to 0.30 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTexas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-10 2020 Texas State @ UT Arlington 50–74 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Texas State @ Louisiana 64–70 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Texas State @ UL Monroe 59–53 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Georgia State @ Texas State 62–67 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Georgia Southern @ Texas State 68–72 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Texas State @ UT Arlington 49–69 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Texas State @ Arkansas State 83–69 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Texas State @ Little Rock 50–47 regular
2020-02-08 2020 App State @ Texas State 59–47 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Coastal Carolina @ Texas State 69–59 regular
2020-02-01 2020 UT Arlington @ Texas State 55–72 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Texas State @ South Alabama 76–78 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Texas State @ Troy 50–84 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Louisiana @ Texas State 73–67 regular
2020-01-17 2020 UL Monroe @ Texas State 58–55 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Texas State @ App State 65–73 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Texas State @ Coastal Carolina 67–75 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Arkansas State @ Texas State 56–53 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Little Rock @ Texas State 78–66 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Alcorn State @ Texas State 59–67 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Texas State @ TCU 52–79 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Texas State @ Morgan State 62–72 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Texas State @ Dartmouth 61–51 regular
2019-12-05 2020 UTSA @ Texas State 69–74 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas State 48–57 regular
2019-11-28 2020 LSU New Orleans @ Texas State 49–51 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Texas State @ Kansas 49–69 regular
2019-11-16 2020 UT Permian Basin @ Texas State 45–83 non_d1
2019-11-08 2020 Texas State @ Oral Roberts 57–63 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Texas Lutheran @ Texas State 31–72 non_d1