cbb·system

Texas State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.57 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.51 to 0.32 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTexas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-05 2026 South Alabama @ Texas State N 69–59 conf_tournament
2026-02-27 2026 Texas State @ Arkansas State 53–87 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Texas State @ UL Monroe 74–83 regular
2026-02-21 2026 South Alabama @ Texas State 64–59 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Arkansas State @ Texas State 75–61 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Texas State @ Southern Miss 77–86 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Texas State @ South Alabama 69–63 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Texas State @ Northern Illinois 69–71 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Georgia Southern @ Texas State 61–57 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Texas State @ Georgia State 68–59 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Texas State @ Coastal Carolina 53–85 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Old Dominion @ Texas State 61–65 regular
2026-01-22 2026 App State @ Texas State 49–63 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Troy @ Texas State 67–63 regular
2026-01-14 2026 Southern Miss @ Texas State 76–62 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Texas State @ Louisiana 55–43 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Texas State @ Troy 49–84 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Texas State @ James Madison 52–87 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Huston Tillotson @ Texas State 33–95 non_d1
2025-12-20 2026 UL Monroe @ Texas State 69–79 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Louisiana @ Texas State 55–62 regular
2025-12-10 2026 UNT Dallas @ Texas State 38–64 non_d1
2025-12-07 2026 Texas State @ Stephen F. Austin 66–74 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Prairie View A&M @ Texas State 52–93 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Tarleton State @ Texas State 56–45 regular
2025-11-20 2026 Texas State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 53–43 regular
2025-11-18 2026 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas State 77–65 regular
2025-11-14 2026 Texas State @ UTSA 41–64 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Texas State @ Texas Tech 50–83 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Ohio @ Texas State 72–66 regular