cbb·system

Texas State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.48 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.44 to 0.39 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTexas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-16 2023 Texas State @ Stephen F. Austin 79–89 other_postseason
2023-03-06 2023 Texas State @ James Madison N 51–81 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Southern Miss @ Texas State N 57–85 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 App State @ Texas State N 47–56 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Texas State @ Arkansas State 86–79 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Texas State @ Louisiana 58–51 regular
2023-02-18 2023 South Alabama @ Texas State 57–77 regular
2023-02-17 2023 James Madison @ Texas State 58–54 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Texas State @ Marshall 64–60 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Texas State @ Southern Miss 69–52 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UL Monroe @ Texas State 56–74 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Troy @ Texas State 84–78 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Southern Miss @ Texas State 52–62 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Texas State @ Old Dominion 52–46 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Texas State @ South Alabama 43–45 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Texas State @ UL Monroe 65–57 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Arkansas State @ Texas State 55–89 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Georgia State @ Texas State 48–64 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Louisiana @ Texas State 71–51 regular
2023-01-06 2023 App State @ Texas State 59–66 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Texas State @ Troy 63–79 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Texas State @ Georgia Southern 82–70 regular
2022-12-22 2023 UNT Dallas @ Texas State 39–58 non_d1
2022-12-20 2023 Houston Christian @ Texas State 61–67 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas State 56–47 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Morgan State @ Texas State 50–58 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Loyola Marymount @ Texas State 62–74 regular
2022-12-01 2023 UTSA @ Texas State 55–60 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Texas State @ Texas A&M 46–67 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Texas State @ UTEP 68–72 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Arlington Baptist @ Texas State 32–101 non_d1
2022-11-13 2023 Texas State @ Sam Houston 75–70 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Howard Payne @ Texas State 35–104 non_d1