UCF Knights
mens
American
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.08 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.10 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.24 | possessions per game | 4.71 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.33 to 0.57 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 12 | 0.478 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | UCF | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-13 | 2021 | UCF @ Memphis N | 62–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | East Carolina @ UCF N | 62–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | UCF @ East Carolina | 64–60 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Tulsa @ UCF | 69–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Temple @ UCF | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | UCF @ SMU | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | UCF @ Tulane | 84–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | South Florida @ UCF | 65–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | UCF @ Cincinnati | 68–69 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Tulane @ UCF | 49–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Wichita State @ UCF | 61–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | UCF @ Tulsa | 65–58 | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | UCF @ Memphis | 61–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | UCF @ Memphis | 69–96 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | UCF @ Wichita State | 88–93 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | East Carolina @ UCF | 64–71 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | SMU @ UCF | 78–65 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | UCF @ Houston | 58–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-14 | 2021 | UCF @ Temple | 55–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | UCF @ Tulsa | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | Memphis @ UCF | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | UCF @ South Florida | 61–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Tulane @ UCF | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-26 | 2021 | Houston @ UCF | 63–54 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Cincinnati @ UCF | 70–75 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | UCF @ Florida State | 86–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | UCF @ Houston | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | UCF @ Michigan | 58–80 | regular |
| 2020-12-01 | 2021 | Auburn @ UCF | 55–63 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Oklahoma @ UCF | canceled | regular |