UCF Knights
mens
American
canonical name from espn_mbb
#10 Round of 64 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.22 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.16 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.12 | possessions per game | 4.41 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans -0.21 to 0.58 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21 | 12 | 0.636 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | UCF | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | 2026 | UCF @ UCLA N | 71–75 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | UCF @ Arizona N | 59–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026 | Cincinnati @ UCF N | 65–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | UCF @ West Virginia | 62–77 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Oklahoma State @ UCF | 111–104 | regular |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026 | Baylor @ UCF | 87–86 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | UCF @ BYU | 97–84 | regular |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026 | UCF @ Utah | 73–71 | regular |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026 | TCU @ UCF | 71–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | West Virginia @ UCF | 74–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026 | UCF @ Cincinnati | 72–92 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | UCF @ Houston | 55–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Texas Tech @ UCF | 80–88 | regular |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026 | Arizona State @ UCF | 76–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | UCF @ Colorado | 95–86 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | UCF @ Iowa State | 57–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Arizona @ UCF | 84–77 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | UCF @ Kansas State | 82–73 | regular |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026 | Cincinnati @ UCF | 72–73 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | UCF @ Oklahoma State | 76–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Kansas @ UCF | 75–81 | regular |
| 2025-12-23 | 2026 | Florida Atlantic @ UCF | 80–85 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Florida Gulf Coast @ UCF | 80–102 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Mercer @ UCF | 63–81 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Towson @ UCF | 61–86 | regular |
| 2025-11-29 | 2026 | VMI @ UCF | 57–82 | regular |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Quinnipiac @ UCF | 91–102 | regular |
| 2025-11-21 | 2026 | Pittsburgh @ UCF N | 67–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-18 | 2026 | Oakland @ UCF | 83–87 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | UCF @ Texas A&M | 86–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Florida A&M @ UCF | 60–97 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Vanderbilt @ UCF | 105–93 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Hofstra @ UCF | 78–82 | regular |