cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

mens CAA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.17 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.03 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.51 to 0.22 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-08 2024 Hampton @ Elon N 56–55 conf_tournament
2024-03-02 2024 Monmouth @ Elon 85–70 regular
2024-03-01 2024 William & Mary @ Elon 71–76 regular
2024-02-25 2024 Elon @ Hofstra 64–87 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Elon @ Northeastern 58–61 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 73–72 regular
2024-02-16 2024 Delaware @ Elon 67–73 regular
2024-02-13 2024 Elon @ Towson 55–80 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Stony Brook @ Elon 79–64 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Elon @ North Carolina A&T 69–65 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Campbell @ Elon 69–67 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Elon @ Hampton 80–74 regular
2024-01-25 2024 Elon @ Campbell 68–78 regular
2024-01-21 2024 Northeastern @ Elon 84–72 regular
2024-01-19 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 82–70 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Drexel @ Elon 89–69 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Elon @ Charleston 62–80 regular
2024-01-07 2024 North Carolina A&T @ Elon 59–77 regular
2024-01-05 2024 Elon @ William & Mary 70–77 regular
2023-12-29 2024 Valparaiso @ Elon 78–82 regular
2023-12-22 2024 Elon @ South Carolina 43–70 regular
2023-12-16 2024 Bridgewater College (VA) @ Elon 70–104 non_d1
2023-12-10 2024 Elon @ UNC Greensboro 73–82 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Elon @ Radford 72–82 regular
2023-12-01 2024 Warren Wilson @ Elon 56–127 non_d1
2023-11-28 2024 Presbyterian @ Elon 79–82 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Elon @ Winthrop N 70–78 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Elon @ Holy Cross N 83–69 regular
2023-11-18 2024 IU Indianapolis @ Elon N 72–86 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Elon @ North Dakota 68–85 regular
2023-11-10 2024 East Tennessee State @ Elon 76–79 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Elon @ Wake Forest 78–101 regular