cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

mens CAA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.17 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.83 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.46 to 0.39 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-08 2026 Elon @ William & Mary N 62–72 conf_tournament
2026-03-04 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 76–57 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Elon @ Monmouth 57–73 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Elon @ Towson 56–58 regular
2026-02-22 2026 North Carolina A&T @ Elon 102–82 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Elon @ William & Mary 81–78 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 54–65 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Drexel @ Elon 82–77 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Elon @ Hampton 79–87 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Stony Brook @ Elon 72–68 regular
2026-01-30 2026 William & Mary @ Elon 76–79 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Elon @ Charleston 70–80 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Towson @ Elon 72–59 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Elon @ Hofstra 89–85 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Elon @ Northeastern 78–85 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Campbell @ Elon 82–83 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Elon @ North Carolina A&T 69–64 regular
2025-12-31 2026 Charleston @ Elon 85–81 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Northeastern @ Elon 91–103 regular
2025-12-22 2026 Greensboro College @ Elon 63–97 non_d1
2025-12-20 2026 Elon @ Virginia Tech 81–82 regular
2025-12-18 2026 Richmond @ Elon 70–73 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Northern Illinois @ Elon 79–85 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Elon @ Wofford 73–52 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Furman @ Elon 97–88 regular
2025-11-29 2026 Mercer @ Elon 91–84 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Elon @ App State 88–53 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Elon @ Miami 72–99 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Gardner-Webb @ Elon 84–95 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Elon @ Marshall 89–96 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Elon @ UNC Greensboro 92–90 regular
2025-11-06 2026 Belmont Abbey @ Elon 51–99 non_d1