cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

mens CAA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.16 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.42 to 0.60 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251716 0.515

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 Elon @ Army N 78–83 other_postseason
2025-03-08 2025 Elon @ Drexel N 74–91 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Elon @ Stony Brook 66–71 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Elon @ Monmouth 76–79 regular
2025-02-23 2025 William & Mary @ Elon 79–70 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Towson @ Elon 63–69 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 81–70 regular
2025-02-14 2025 North Carolina A&T @ Elon 60–59 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Elon @ Charleston 83–88 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Elon @ Campbell 58–76 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Northeastern @ Elon 60–71 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Hofstra @ Elon 74–63 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Charleston @ Elon 76–62 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Monmouth @ Elon 71–83 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Elon @ Delaware 77–79 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Elon @ Drexel 65–54 regular
2025-01-14 2025 Campbell @ Elon 68–81 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Elon @ William & Mary 65–78 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Hampton @ Elon 62–70 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Elon @ North Carolina A&T 75–67 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Marshall @ Elon 59–73 regular
2024-12-22 2025 UNC Greensboro @ Elon 69–73 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Elon @ East Tennessee State 58–84 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Virginia-Lynchburg @ Elon 52–114 non_d1
2024-12-08 2025 Wofford @ Elon 56–79 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Elon @ Pennsylvania 68–53 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Navy @ Elon N 63–69 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Maine @ Elon N 69–56 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Elon @ Notre Dame 84–77 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Elon @ Northern Illinois 75–48 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Elon @ Gardner-Webb 79–80 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Bluefield University @ Elon 66–103 non_d1
2024-11-05 2025 Elon @ North Carolina 76–90 regular