mens · season 2024
The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjOE — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.
train_cutoff_at — 135 cutoffs from
2023-11-20 to 2024-04-09.
Axis spans 1.02 to 1.43.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2024-01-24, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
- Alabama
- UConn
- Purdue
- Baylor
- Illinois
- 20 more, drawn as grey context
The top 25 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjOE | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1.30 | 118 | #4 Final Four (out) |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1.29 | 118 | #1 Champion |
| 3 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1.28 | 118 | #1 Title game (out) |
| 4 | Baylor Bears | 1.27 | 118 | #3 Round of 32 (out) |
| 5 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1.27 | 118 | #3 Elite 8 (out) |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1.26 | 118 | #4 Elite 8 (out) |
| 7 | Kentucky Wildcats | 1.26 | 118 | #3 Round of 64 (out) |
| 8 | Arizona Wildcats | 1.26 | 118 | #2 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 9 | BYU Cougars | 1.24 | 118 | #6 Round of 64 (out) |
| 10 | Creighton Bluejays | 1.24 | 118 | #3 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 11 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1.24 | 118 | #5 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 12 | Auburn Tigers | 1.23 | 118 | #4 Round of 64 (out) |
| 13 | Houston Cougars | 1.23 | 118 | #1 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 14 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 1.22 | 118 | — |
| 15 | Florida Gators | 1.22 | 118 | #7 Round of 64 (out) |
| 16 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 1.22 | 118 | #1 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 17 | Wisconsin Badgers | 1.21 | 118 | #5 Round of 64 (out) |
| 18 | Indiana State Sycamores | 1.21 | 118 | — |
| 19 | Dayton Flyers | 1.21 | 118 | #7 Round of 32 (out) |
| 20 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 1.21 | 118 | — |
| 21 | Colorado Buffaloes | 1.21 | 118 | #10 Round of 32 (out) |
| 22 | Florida Atlantic Owls | 1.21 | 118 | #8 Round of 64 (out) |
| 23 | Marquette Golden Eagles | 1.21 | 118 | #2 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 24 | Boise State Broncos | 1.21 | 118 | #10 Play-in (out) |
| 25 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 1.20 | 118 | #6 Round of 64 (out) |
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2024-03-17) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.