cbb·system

womens · season 2020

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

The NCAA championship game for womens 2020 has no result in the store, so the Postseason column below shows the furthest completed round and no team is marked a champion. A walk-forward's final cutoff is the morning of the title game, so the season's last rating snapshot precedes the final by design.

end state cutoff 2020-03-12 teams rated 354 cutoffs in the walk 81
womens 2020: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffs1. Troy 2. Sacramento State 3. Sam Houston 4. Western Illinois 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sacramento State 3. Sam Houston 4. Western Illinois 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sacramento State 3. Sam Houston 4. DePaul 5. Alcorn State1. Troy 2. Sacramento State 3. Sam Houston 4. Alcorn State 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sacramento State 3. Sam Houston 4. Denver 5. Alcorn State1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Sacramento State 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Sacramento State 4. DePaul 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. Sacramento State 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Sacramento State1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Chicago State 4. Alcorn State 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Alcorn State 4. Chicago State 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Alcorn State 4. Denver 5. Chicago State1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Alcorn State 4. Denver 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. Alcorn State 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Alcorn State 4. DePaul 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Alcorn State 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Alcorn State 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Alcorn State1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Alcorn State 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. Western Illinois 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. Western Illinois 5. DePaul1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. New Mexico1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. New Mexico1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. New Mexico1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. New Mexico1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. New Mexico1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. Western Illinois1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Western Illinois 5. Denver1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. DePaul 4. Denver 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. DePaul 5. Oklahoma1. Troy 2. Sam Houston 3. Denver 4. Oklahoma 5. DePaul
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 81 cutoffs from 2020-01-27 to 2020-03-12. Axis spans 73.77 to 80.45. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). The shortest drawn line covers 70 of the 81 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it. Warm-up: show · hidden
  • Troy
  • Sam Houston
  • Denver
  • Oklahoma
  • DePaul
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Troy Trojans 79.24 81 —
2 Sam Houston Bearkats 78.32 81 —
3 Denver Pioneers 77.53 81 —
4 Oklahoma Sooners 77.48 81 —
5 DePaul Blue Demons 77.41 81 —
6 Western Illinois Leathernecks 77.31 81 —
7 Howard Bison 77.30 81 —
8 New Mexico Lobos 77.26 81 —
9 Texas Southern Tigers 76.78 81 —
10 Alcorn State Lady Braves 76.71 81 —
11 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 76.28 81 —
12 California Baptist Lancers 76.15 81 —
13 Queens University Royals 76.12 70 —
14 Chicago State Cougars 76.08 81 —
15 Sacramento State Hornets 75.58 81 —
16 San José State Spartans 75.57 81 —
17 Texas Tech Lady Raiders 75.50 81 —
18 McNeese Cowgirls 75.46 81 —
19 Northern Illinois Huskies 75.26 81 —
20 Saint Peter's Peacocks 75.25 81 —
21 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 75.24 81 —
22 Drake Bulldogs 75.12 81 —
23 Penn State Lady Lions 75.01 81 —
24 Vanderbilt Commodores 74.90 81 —
25 Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 74.61 81 —

Ranked at the season's last cutoff — this season has no cutoff whose ratings saw no NCAA tournament game. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.