womens · season 2022

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjDE — the lowest values, since a defence allows points rather than scoring them — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

end state cutoff 2022-04-04 teams rated 357 cutoffs in the walk 124

AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 124 cutoffs from 2022-01-31 to 2022-04-04. Axis spans 0.60 to 0.83. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Warm-up: show · hidden

South Carolina
UCF
North Carolina
Stanford
UConn
20 more, drawn as grey context

Readout

Hover or tap a station to move this readout; it starts at the pre-tournament cutoff.

cutoff 2022-03-13 rated here 25 AdjDE pts / possession

1 South Carolina 0.628
2 UCF 0.678
3 North Carolina 0.688
4 Stanford 0.696
5 UConn 0.702
6 Louisville 0.712
7 Georgia Tech 0.720
8 Texas 0.721
9 NC State 0.724
10 Georgia 0.728
11 Tennessee 0.729
12 Ole Miss 0.741
13 Indiana 0.745
14 Arizona 0.753
15 Princeton 0.755
16 Missouri State 0.756
17 Colorado 0.757
18 LSU 0.757
19 Michigan 0.760
20 Baylor 0.761
21 Miami 0.763
22 Notre Dame 0.763
23 Dayton 0.765
24 Oklahoma State 0.770
25 BYU 0.772

The top 25 going into the tournament

#	Team	AdjDE	Cutoffs rated	Postseason
1	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.63	109	Champion
2	UCF Knights	0.68	109	Round of 32 (out)
3	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.69	109	Sweet 16 (out)
4	Stanford Cardinal	0.70	109	Final Four (out)
5	UConn Huskies	0.70	109	Title game (out)
6	Louisville Cardinals	0.71	109	Final Four (out)
7	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	0.72	109	Round of 64 (out)
8	Texas Longhorns	0.72	109	Elite 8 (out)
9	NC State Wolfpack	0.72	109	Elite 8 (out)
10	Georgia Lady Bulldogs	0.73	109	Round of 32 (out)
11	Tennessee Lady Volunteers	0.73	109	Sweet 16 (out)
12	Ole Miss Rebels	0.74	109	Round of 64 (out)
13	Indiana Hoosiers	0.75	109	Sweet 16 (out)
14	Arizona Wildcats	0.75	109	Round of 32 (out)
15	Princeton Tigers	0.75	109	Round of 32 (out)
16	Missouri State Lady Bears	0.76	109	Round of 64 (out)
17	Colorado Buffaloes	0.76	109	Round of 64 (out)
18	LSU Tigers	0.76	109	Round of 32 (out)
19	Michigan Wolverines	0.76	109	Elite 8 (out)
20	Baylor Bears	0.76	109	Round of 32 (out)
21	Miami Hurricanes	0.76	109	Round of 32 (out)
22	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.76	109	Sweet 16 (out)
23	Dayton Flyers	0.76	109	Round of 64 (out)
24	Oklahoma State Cowgirls	0.77	109	—
25	BYU Cougars	0.77	109	Round of 64 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2022-03-13) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game, best (lowest) first. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.