cbb·system

Missouri State Lady Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Final Four (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.01 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Missouri State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.19 to 1.66 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192510 0.714

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMissouri State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-30 2019 Missouri State @ Stanford N 46–55 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-26 2019 Missouri State @ Iowa State 69–60 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-23 2019 Missouri State @ DePaul N 89–78 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-17 2019 Missouri State @ Drake N 94–79 conf_tournament
2019-03-16 2019 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State N 64–89 conf_tournament
2019-03-15 2019 Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State N 50–59 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Missouri State @ Indiana State 76–66 regular
2019-03-08 2019 Missouri State @ Evansville 88–46 regular
2019-03-03 2019 Drake @ Missouri State 70–61 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State 48–58 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Missouri State @ Loyola Chicago 85–58 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Missouri State @ Valparaiso 77–58 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Bradley @ Missouri State 60–82 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Illinois State @ Missouri State 60–56 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Missouri State @ Southern Illinois 70–58 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 63–58 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Missouri State @ Drake 85–79 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Valparaiso @ Missouri State 63–108 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State 49–84 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Missouri State @ Illinois State 59–47 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Missouri State @ Bradley 68–56 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Southern Illinois @ Missouri State 51–66 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Evansville @ Missouri State 66–88 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Indiana State @ Missouri State 58–71 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Little Rock @ Missouri State 44–48 regular
2018-12-21 2019 SIU Edwardsville @ Missouri State N 65–68 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State N 70–82 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Gonzaga @ Missouri State 70–67 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Missouri State @ Indiana 74–98 regular
2018-12-05 2019 South Dakota @ Missouri State 85–74 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Missouri State @ North Texas 76–83 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Missouri State @ Santa Clara 73–77 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Ball State @ Missouri State 54–74 regular
2018-11-14 2019 Missouri State @ Missouri 61–65 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Missouri State @ Wichita State 60–63 regular