Missouri State Lady Bears
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.90 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.07 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.21 | possessions per game | 4.57 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-02 19:30),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans -0.32 to 0.48 over
125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | 12 | 0.625 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-15 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Nebraska | 65–74 | other_postseason |
| 2023-03-10 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Drake N | 70–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-09 | 2023 | Bradley @ Missouri State N | 53–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 67–86 | regular |
| 2023-03-03 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Drake | 63–83 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | 66–77 | regular |
| 2023-02-24 | 2023 | Evansville @ Missouri State | 51–63 | regular |
| 2023-02-19 | 2023 | Belmont @ Missouri State | 68–58 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Murray State @ Missouri State | 86–92 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 71–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Bradley | 74–64 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | UIC @ Missouri State | 57–68 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Southern Illinois | 70–68 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Drake @ Missouri State | 54–64 | regular |
| 2023-01-27 | 2023 | Northern Iowa @ Missouri State | 67–71 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Murray State | 77–61 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Belmont | 66–75 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 68–77 | regular |
| 2023-01-12 | 2023 | Southern Illinois @ Missouri State | 57–78 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 54–87 | regular |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 67–63 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 73–61 | regular |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Indiana State | 71–62 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Little Rock @ Missouri State | 48–55 | regular |
| 2022-12-17 | 2023 | UT Martin @ Missouri State | 59–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Missouri State @ TCU | 63–59 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Toledo | 63–91 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State N | 79–54 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | Missouri State @ UTSA N | 74–51 | regular |
| 2022-11-18 | 2023 | Oklahoma State @ Missouri State | 73–54 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | Saint Louis @ Missouri State | 55–71 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Missouri @ Missouri State | 68–51 | regular |