Missouri State Lady Bears
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.06 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.46 | possessions per game | 4.50 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-05 19:30),
with 36 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans -0.36 to 0.44 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 13 | 0.639 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Texas | 45–87 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026 | Stephen F. Austin @ Missouri State N | 75–85 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech N | 43–38 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Florida International N | 74–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee N | 69–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee | 75–86 | regular |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Western Kentucky | 65–38 | regular |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | Florida International @ Missouri State | 38–69 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | Sam Houston @ Missouri State | 55–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Delaware @ Missouri State | 57–83 | regular |
| 2026-02-20 | 2026 | Liberty @ Missouri State | 55–43 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech | 67–68 | regular |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Sam Houston | 67–74 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Western Kentucky @ Missouri State | 52–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026 | Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State | 54–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Liberty | 52–60 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Delaware | 79–54 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State | 60–51 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Missouri State @ New Mexico State | 56–63 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Missouri State @ UTEP | 71–64 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Jacksonville State @ Missouri State | 47–63 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Kennesaw State @ Missouri State | 61–67 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Florida International | 80–69 | regular |
| 2025-12-22 | 2026 | Central Arkansas @ Missouri State | 61–65 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Gonzaga @ Missouri State | 68–49 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Arkansas @ Missouri State | 73–58 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Kansas @ Missouri State | 73–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-05 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Tulane | 72–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026 | Coppin State @ Missouri State N | 56–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Florida State N | 75–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Tulsa | 57–73 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Georgia Southern @ Missouri State | 58–69 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Wichita State N | 66–57 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Southeast Missouri State | 67–57 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Missouri State @ UT Arlington | 69–53 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Saint Louis @ Missouri State | 66–70 | regular |