cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Play-in (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.19 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.65 to 0.26 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-16 2022 Incarnate Word @ Howard N 51–55 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-13 2022 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana N 56–52 conf_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian N 54–33 conf_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Incarnate Word @ McNeese N 90–63 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word N 73–74 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 60–55 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 65–73 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 45–51 regular
2022-02-19 2022 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 54–57 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 60–67 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans 57–78 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 78–76 regular
2022-02-05 2022 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 49–54 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 47–43 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 49–76 regular
2022-01-27 2022 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 52–45 regular
2022-01-22 2022 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 67–57 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 62–57 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 54–61 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 58–53 regular
2022-01-11 2022 Champion Christian @ Incarnate Word canceled non_d1
2022-01-09 2022 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 43–62 regular
2022-01-03 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word N canceled regular
2021-12-30 2022 Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech postponed regular
2021-12-22 2022 Tarleton State @ Incarnate Word 58–47 regular
2021-12-19 2022 UC Riverside @ Incarnate Word 55–61 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley 57–62 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Schreiner @ Incarnate Word 46–73 non_d1
2021-11-30 2022 Western Illinois @ Incarnate Word 59–63 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Incarnate Word @ UTSA 60–66 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Texas Lutheran @ Incarnate Word 50–65 non_d1
2021-11-13 2022 Incarnate Word @ New Mexico State 48–57 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Incarnate Word @ UTEP 47–81 regular