cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.72 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.47 to 0.44 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241911 0.633

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-12 2024 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word N 66–57 conf_tournament
2024-03-06 2024 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 43–65 regular
2024-03-02 2024 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 76–79 regular
2024-03-01 2024 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 51–53 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 61–48 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 52–47 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 45–53 regular
2024-02-16 2024 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 61–72 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 67–40 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 72–68 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans 64–54 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 86–93 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 49–77 regular
2024-01-20 2024 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 55–67 regular
2024-01-19 2024 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 65–59 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 63–57 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 70–62 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 63–61 regular
2024-01-05 2024 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 53–70 regular
2023-12-31 2024 Incarnate Word @ Arkansas 48–67 regular
2023-12-20 2024 Texas Lutheran @ Incarnate Word 36–70 non_d1
2023-12-16 2024 St. Edward's @ Incarnate Word 49–57 non_d1
2023-12-13 2024 Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech 35–76 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Incarnate Word @ Tarleton State 57–42 regular
2023-12-02 2024 Dallas Christian @ Incarnate Word 52–103 non_d1
2023-11-27 2024 Incarnate Word @ Prairie View A&M 57–44 regular
2023-11-19 2024 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word 57–67 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Incarnate Word @ TCU 55–61 regular
2023-11-12 2024 New Mexico State @ Incarnate Word 59–52 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Our Lady of the Lake @ Incarnate Word 40–68 non_d1