cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 60.95 possessions per game 5.04

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 25 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.59 to 0.27 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231514 0.517

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-07 2023 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word N 65–62 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 79–60 regular
2023-02-25 2023 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 62–73 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 58–67 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 65–50 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 69–45 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 49–65 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 74–67 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans 50–45 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 50–72 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 62–70 regular
2023-01-26 2023 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 69–34 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 52–72 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 52–71 regular
2023-01-14 2023 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 49–55 regular
2023-01-12 2023 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 55–61 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 65–58 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51–59 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 61–64 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Incarnate Word @ SMU 44–57 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Sul Ross State @ Incarnate Word 36–77 non_d1
2022-12-16 2023 UTSA @ Incarnate Word 53–56 regular
2022-12-12 2023 Schreiner @ Incarnate Word 41–92 non_d1
2022-12-04 2023 Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech 48–66 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Incarnate Word @ TCU 33–60 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Texas Lutheran @ Incarnate Word 42–50 non_d1
2022-11-18 2023 Northern Colorado @ Incarnate Word 63–54 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Incarnate Word @ Baylor 42–71 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Our Lady of the Lake @ Incarnate Word 56–63 non_d1