cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.55 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.60 to 0.35 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-20 2025 Incarnate Word @ UT Arlington 52–78 other_postseason
2025-03-12 2025 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana N 37–57 conf_tournament
2025-03-11 2025 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word N 54–69 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 74–65 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 71–64 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 73–68 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 61–53 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 63–55 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley 37–59 regular
2025-02-08 2025 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 62–43 regular
2025-02-07 2025 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 60–71 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 55–68 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 77–63 regular
2025-01-27 2025 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans 58–55 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 42–66 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 58–76 regular
2025-01-17 2025 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word 43–52 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 76–45 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 68–57 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin 60–67 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 47–69 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Our Lady of the Lake @ Incarnate Word 37–104 non_d1
2024-12-20 2025 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 55–76 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Schreiner @ Incarnate Word 36–93 non_d1
2024-12-06 2025 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 46–48 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Abilene Christian @ Incarnate Word 61–53 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Incarnate Word @ TCU 43–81 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Prairie View A&M @ Incarnate Word 49–68 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Texas Lutheran @ Incarnate Word 51–57 non_d1
2024-11-12 2025 Nelson @ Incarnate Word 54–85 non_d1
2024-11-08 2025 Incarnate Word @ Baylor 33–85 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech 48–78 regular