mens · season 2025
The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.
train_cutoff_at — 135 cutoffs from
2024-11-20 to 2025-04-08.
Axis spans 0.08 to 0.77.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2025-01-23, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
- Duke
- Auburn
- Houston
- Florida
- Tennessee
- 20 more, drawn as grey context
The top 25 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjME | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke Blue Devils | 0.46 | 115 | #1 Final Four (out) |
| 2 | Auburn Tigers | 0.41 | 115 | #1 Final Four (out) |
| 3 | Houston Cougars | 0.40 | 115 | #1 Title game (out) |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 0.37 | 115 | #1 Champion |
| 5 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.36 | 115 | #2 Elite 8 (out) |
| 6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.35 | 115 | #2 Elite 8 (out) |
| 7 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.34 | 115 | #3 Elite 8 (out) |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0.33 | 115 | #8 Round of 32 (out) |
| 9 | Arizona Wildcats | 0.31 | 115 | #4 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 10 | Maryland Terrapins | 0.31 | 115 | #4 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 11 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.29 | 115 | #3 Round of 32 (out) |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 0.29 | 115 | #4 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 13 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.29 | 115 | #2 Elite 8 (out) |
| 14 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.29 | 115 | #3 Round of 32 (out) |
| 15 | Kansas Jayhawks | 0.29 | 115 | #7 Round of 64 (out) |
| 16 | St. John's Red Storm | 0.28 | 115 | #2 Round of 32 (out) |
| 17 | BYU Cougars | 0.28 | 115 | #6 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 18 | Saint Mary's Gaels | 0.28 | 115 | #7 Round of 32 (out) |
| 19 | Missouri Tigers | 0.28 | 115 | #6 Round of 64 (out) |
| 20 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.27 | 115 | #3 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 21 | Clemson Tigers | 0.27 | 115 | #5 Round of 64 (out) |
| 22 | Marquette Golden Eagles | 0.26 | 115 | #7 Round of 64 (out) |
| 23 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.26 | 115 | #6 Round of 32 (out) |
| 24 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.26 | 115 | #4 Round of 32 (out) |
| 25 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.26 | 115 | #5 Sweet 16 (out) |
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2025-03-16) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.