end state
cutoff 2025-04-08
teams rated
364
cutoffs in the walk
135
mens 2025: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffs warm-up: before this line the median team had played fewer than 18 games and the rating (a mean) has not yet settled start of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament 1. Tennessee State 2. Cal State Northridge 3. Fresno State 4. Bryant 5. Charleston 1. Tennessee State 2. Cal State Northridge 3. Fresno State 4. Charleston 5. Illinois 1. Tennessee State 2. Fresno State 3. Cal State Northridge 4. Charleston 5. Illinois 1. Tennessee State 2. Fresno State 3. New Mexico 4. Cal Poly 5. Cal State Northridge 1. Fresno State 2. Tennessee State 3. Samford 4. New Mexico 5. Cal Poly 1. Fresno State 2. Tennessee State 3. Samford 4. New Mexico 5. Cal Poly 1. Fresno State 2. Tennessee State 3. Samford 4. Alabama 5. New Mexico 1. Fresno State 2. New Mexico 3. Tennessee State 4. Alabama 5. Samford 1. Fresno State 2. New Mexico 3. Tennessee State 4. Cal Poly 5. Alabama 1. Fresno State 2. Tennessee State 3. Cal Poly 4. New Mexico 5. Alabama 1. Fresno State 2. New Mexico 3. Cal Poly 4. Alabama 5. Tennessee State 1. Fresno State 2. Cal Poly 3. New Mexico 4. Tennessee State 5. Alabama 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. New Mexico 4. Alabama 5. Tennessee State 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Tennessee State 4. New Mexico 5. Alabama 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. New Mexico 4. Alabama 5. Tennessee State 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. Tennessee State 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. New Mexico 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Bryant 4. Alabama 5. New Mexico 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. New Mexico 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. New Mexico 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. New Mexico 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. New Mexico 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Fresno State 3. Alabama 4. New Mexico 5. Bryant 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. Indiana State 5. New Mexico 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Indiana State 4. New Mexico 5. Fresno State 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. New Mexico 4. Fresno State 5. Indiana State 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop 1. Alabama 2. Fresno State 3. Indiana State 4. Cal Poly 5. Tennessee State 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Winthrop 4. Tennessee State 5. Indiana State 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Winthrop 4. New Mexico 5. Fresno State 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Winthrop 4. New Mexico 5. Indiana State 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. Indiana State 5. Winthrop 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Tennessee State 5. South Dakota 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. New Mexico 5. South Dakota 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Alabama A&M 5. Tennessee State 1. Alabama 2. South Dakota 3. Tennessee State 4. New Mexico 5. Fresno State 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. South Dakota 5. Tennessee State 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Winthrop 5. South Dakota 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Fresno State 5. Winthrop 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. Winthrop 5. South Dakota 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Fresno State 5. Winthrop 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. Fresno State 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Winthrop 4. New Mexico 5. South Dakota 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. New Mexico 4. Winthrop 5. South Dakota 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Indiana State 5. Winthrop 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate 1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate 1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico
AdjPace (possessions per game) across
train_cutoff_at — 135 cutoffs from
2024-11-20 to 2025-04-08.
Axis spans 64.94 to 78.88.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2025-01-23, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
Alabama
Cal Poly
South Dakota
New Mexico
Winthrop
20 more, drawn as grey context
The top 25 going into the tournament
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff
(2025-03-16) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA
tournament game. This is the
rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two
are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff.
A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a
team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.