cbb·system

mens · season 2023

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2023-04-04 teams rated 363 cutoffs in the walk 129
mens 2023: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Milwaukee 2. Arizona 3. Wright State 4. Bryant 5. St. John's1. Wright State 2. Milwaukee 3. Arizona 4. Bryant 5. UAB1. Arizona 2. Wright State 3. Milwaukee 4. UAB 5. St. John's1. Arizona 2. Wright State 3. St. John's 4. UAB 5. Central Arkansas1. Arizona 2. Wright State 3. St. John's 4. Southern Utah 5. UAB1. Arizona 2. UAB 3. Southern Utah 4. St. John's 5. Wright State1. Arizona 2. Southern Utah 3. UAB 4. St. John's 5. Alabama1. UAB 2. Arizona 3. Alabama 4. St. John's 5. Southern Utah1. Arizona 2. UAB 3. St. John's 4. Southern Utah 5. Alabama1. Arizona 2. UAB 3. St. John's 4. Southern Utah 5. Alabama1. Arizona 2. St. John's 3. UAB 4. Alabama 5. Southern Utah1. Alabama 2. Arizona 3. Southern Utah 4. Bryant 5. St. John's1. Alabama 2. Southern Utah 3. Arizona 4. Bryant 5. St. John's1. Alabama 2. Southern Utah 3. Bryant 4. Arizona 5. UT Rio Grande Valley1. Alabama 2. Southern Utah 3. Bryant 4. Arizona 5. UAB1. Alabama 2. Southern Utah 3. UT Rio Grande Valley 4. Bryant 5. UAB1. Alabama 2. Southern Utah 3. Bryant 4. UT Rio Grande Valley 5. Coppin State1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. Southern Utah 4. UAB 5. UT Rio Grande Valley1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. UAB 4. Southern Utah 5. St. John's1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. Southern Utah 4. UAB 5. Coppin State1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. Southern Utah 4. Coppin State 5. UAB1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. Southern Utah 4. Coppin State 5. Central Arkansas1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. Southern Utah 4. Coppin State 5. UAB1. Alabama 2. Bryant 3. Southern Utah 4. Coppin State 5. UAB1. Alabama 2. Southern Utah 3. Coppin State 4. UAB 5. St. John's1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. UT Rio Grande Valley 4. Bryant 5. Southern Utah1. Alabama 2. UT Rio Grande Valley 3. Coppin State 4. St. John's 5. Buffalo1. Alabama 2. UT Rio Grande Valley 3. St. John's 4. Coppin State 5. Long Beach State1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. St. John's 4. UT Rio Grande Valley 5. Long Beach State1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. Long Beach State 4. St. John's 5. UT Rio Grande Valley1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. Long Beach State 4. UT Rio Grande Valley 5. Buffalo1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. Long Beach State 4. UT Rio Grande Valley 5. St. John's1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Coppin State 4. St. John's 5. UT Rio Grande Valley1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. Long Beach State 4. Wright State 5. St. John's1. Alabama 2. Coppin State 3. Wright State 4. Long Beach State 5. St. John's1. Coppin State 2. Long Beach State 3. Alabama 4. Wright State 5. St. John's1. Long Beach State 2. Alabama 3. Coppin State 4. Wright State 5. Pepperdine1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Wright State 4. Coppin State 5. Tulane1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Wright State 4. Coppin State 5. Tulane1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Wright State 4. Coppin State 5. Tulane1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Wright State 4. St. John's 5. Tulane1. Long Beach State 2. Alabama 3. Wright State 4. Pepperdine 5. Tulane1. Long Beach State 2. Wright State 3. Alabama 4. Tulane 5. Marshall1. Long Beach State 2. Alabama 3. Marshall 4. Pepperdine 5. Tulane1. Long Beach State 2. Pepperdine 3. Tulane 4. Alabama 5. St. John's1. Tulane 2. Long Beach State 3. St. John's 4. Alabama 5. Pepperdine1. Long Beach State 2. Alabama 3. St. John's 4. Tulane 5. Wright State1. Long Beach State 2. Tulane 3. Alabama 4. St. John's 5. Pepperdine1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Tulane 4. St. John's 5. Southeast Missouri State1. Alabama 2. Long Beach State 3. Tulane 4. St. John's 5. Southeast Missouri State1. Alabama 2. St. John's 3. Long Beach State 4. Tulane 5. Southeast Missouri State1. Alabama 2. St. John's 3. Long Beach State 4. Tulane 5. Pepperdine1. St. John's 2. Long Beach State 3. Alabama 4. Tulane 5. Pepperdine1. Long Beach State 2. St. John's 3. Alabama 4. Pepperdine 5. Tulane1. Long Beach State 2. St. John's 3. Alabama 4. Tulane 5. Pepperdine1. St. John's 2. Long Beach State 3. Tulane 4. Alabama 5. Southeast Missouri State1. St. John's 2. Long Beach State 3. Tulane 4. Pepperdine 5. Alabama1. Long Beach State 2. St. John's 3. Tulane 4. Alabama 5. Southeast Missouri State1. Long Beach State 2. St. John's 3. Tulane 4. Alabama 5. Pepperdine1. Long Beach State 2. St. John's 3. Tulane 4. Pepperdine 5. Alabama
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 129 cutoffs from 2022-11-20 to 2023-04-04. Axis spans 64.14 to 82.96. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2023-01-20, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Alabama
  • St. John's
  • Long Beach State
  • Tulane
  • Pepperdine
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 74.16 112 #1 Sweet 16 (out)
2 St. John's Red Storm 73.94 112 —
3 Long Beach State Beach 73.57 112 —
4 Tulane Green Wave 73.17 112 —
5 Pepperdine Waves 72.72 112 —
6 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 72.39 112 #16 Play-in (out)
7 UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 72.31 112 —
8 Marshall Thundering Herd 72.27 112 —
9 Long Island University Sharks 72.26 112 —
10 Central Arkansas Bears 72.20 112 —
11 Southern Utah Thunderbirds 72.19 112 —
12 South Carolina State Bulldogs 72.09 112 —
13 Bryant Bulldogs 72.08 112 —
14 Coppin State Eagles 72.03 112 —
15 Wright State Raiders 72.01 112 —
16 Milwaukee Panthers 71.61 112 —
17 New Mexico Lobos 71.58 112 —
18 Memphis Tigers 71.52 112 #8 Round of 64 (out)
19 Arizona Wildcats 71.49 112 #2 Round of 64 (out)
20 Buffalo Bulls 71.36 112 —
21 UAB Blazers 71.27 112 —
22 UT Martin Skyhawks 71.06 112 —
23 High Point Panthers 71.02 112 —
24 Morgan State Bears 71.00 112 —
25 Charleston Cougars 70.97 112 #12 Round of 64 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2023-03-12) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.